Newcastle United at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Newcastle United

31.2%27.7%41.1%
Newcastle United WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.33
0Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Aston Villa+260
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+215
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+275
L 1-3 at Manchester United+875
L 0-2 at Chelsea+1000
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton+155
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+155
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion-121
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace-130
T 0-0 vs Aston Villa+181

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+500-+475+470+413+445+450-
Brighton and Hove Albion-150--145-132-137-132-132-
Draw+250-+255+245+248+255+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+535-+465-+450+480+480-
Brighton and Hove Albion-155--138--180-145-138-
Draw+250-+238-+230+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 40.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +470 to +445
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -139 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 50.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 10.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +520 to +480
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -170 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2-145o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2-145-
Underu2½-145-u2+120u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+130o2½+130-o2½+115o2½+130o2½+130-
Underu2½-145u2½-150u2½-150-u2½-145u2½-150u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.67%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 412.00%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.48%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 026.51%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 310.34%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.91%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.70%
Exactly 129.27%
Exactly 26.83%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 054.08%
Exactly 133.24%
Exactly 210.22%
Exactly 32.09%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals10.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals20.34%
Wins by 3+ goals7.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.58%
Wins by 2 goals13.02%
Wins by 3 goals5.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.33%9.67%
1.567.73%32.27%
2.541.35%58.65%
3.520.80%79.20%
4.58.80%91.20%
5.53.19%96.81%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.52%36.48%
1.526.73%73.27%
2.58.18%91.82%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.49%26.51%
1.538.29%61.71%
2.514.93%85.07%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.09%33.91%
1.529.42%70.58%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
9.67%
12.84%
8.52%
3.77%
1.25%
0.33%
1
9.75%
12.95%
8.59%
3.80%
1.26%
0.34%
2
4.92%
6.53%
4.33%
1.92%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.65%
2.19%
1.46%
0.64%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.42%
0.55%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-09.75%
2-04.92%
2-16.53%
3-01.65%
3-12.19%
3-21.46%
4-00.42%
4-10.55%
4-20.37%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.67%
1-112.95%
2-24.33%
3-30.64%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.84%
0-28.52%
1-28.59%
0-33.77%
1-33.80%
2-31.92%
0-41.25%
1-41.26%
2-40.64%
3-40.21%
0-50.33%
1-50.34%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
33.91%
20.84%
6.41%
1.31%
0.20%
1
15.83%
9.73%
2.99%
0.61%
0.09%
2
3.70%
2.27%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.58%
0.35%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-015.83%
2-03.70%
2-12.27%
3-00.58%
3-10.35%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.91%
1-19.73%
2-20.70%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.84%
0-26.41%
1-22.99%
0-31.31%
1-30.61%
2-30.14%
0-40.20%