Newcastle United at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Newcastle United

31.2%27.7%41.1%
Newcastle United WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.33
0Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Aston Villa+260
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+215
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+275
L 1-3 at Manchester United+875
L 0-2 at Chelsea+1000
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton+155
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+155
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion-121
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace-130
T 0-0 vs Aston Villa+181

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+500-+475+470+413+445+450-
Brighton and Hove Albion-150--145-132-137-132-132-
Draw+250-+255+245+248+255+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+535-+465-+450+480+480-
Brighton and Hove Albion-155--138--180-145-138-
Draw+250-+238-+230+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 40.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +470 to +445
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -139 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 50.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 10.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +520 to +480
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -170 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2-145o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2-145-
Underu2½-145-u2+120u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+130o2½+130-o2½+115o2½+130o2½+130-
Underu2½-145u2½-150u2½-150-u2½-145u2½-150u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.67%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 412.00%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.48%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 026.51%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 310.34%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.91%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.70%
Exactly 129.27%
Exactly 26.83%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 054.08%
Exactly 133.24%
Exactly 210.22%
Exactly 32.09%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals10.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals20.34%
Wins by 3+ goals7.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.58%
Wins by 2 goals13.02%
Wins by 3 goals5.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.33%9.67%
1.567.73%32.27%
2.541.35%58.65%
3.520.80%79.20%
4.58.80%91.20%
5.53.19%96.81%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.52%36.48%
1.526.73%73.27%
2.58.18%91.82%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.49%26.51%
1.538.29%61.71%
2.514.93%85.07%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.09%33.91%
1.529.42%70.58%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
9.67%
12.84%
8.52%
3.77%
1.25%
0.33%
1
9.75%
12.95%
8.59%
3.80%
1.26%
0.34%
2
4.92%
6.53%
4.33%
1.92%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.65%
2.19%
1.46%
0.64%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.42%
0.55%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-09.75%
2-04.92%
2-16.53%
3-01.65%
3-12.19%
3-21.46%
4-00.42%
4-10.55%
4-20.37%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.67%
1-112.95%
2-24.33%
3-30.64%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.84%
0-28.52%
1-28.59%
0-33.77%
1-33.80%
2-31.92%
0-41.25%
1-41.26%
2-40.64%
3-40.21%
0-50.33%
1-50.34%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
33.91%
20.84%
6.41%
1.31%
0.20%
1
15.83%
9.73%
2.99%
0.61%
0.09%
2
3.70%
2.27%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.58%
0.35%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-015.83%
2-03.70%
2-12.27%
3-00.58%
3-10.35%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.91%
1-19.73%
2-20.70%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.84%
0-26.41%
1-22.99%
0-31.31%
1-30.61%
2-30.14%
0-40.20%
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