Newcastle United at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

20.1%15.7%64.2%
Newcastle United WinDrawChelsea Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.48
0Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Southampton+230
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace+200
W 2-0 at Everton+540
L 2-1 vs Leeds United+290
L 0-2 at Aston Villa+532
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sheffield United-202
W 1-0 at Tottenham+105
W 0-2 vs Burnley-330
T 0-0 vs Wolverhampton-160
L 0-2 at Leicester City+153

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+1000-+950+1000+914+1000+1000-
Chelsea-417--335-350-352-350-335-
Draw+450-+450+500+465+500+500-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+950-+950--+1000+1000-
Chelsea-385--351---380-351-
Draw+525-+460--+480+480-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 60.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +950 to +900
Chelsea ML moved from -361 to -389

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 60.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +1100 to +950
Chelsea ML moved from -400 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117-o2½-140o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2½-140-
Underu3-103-u2½+115u2¾-115-u2¾-115u3-128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-130o2½-130-o3+105o2½-135o2½-130-
Underu3-120u2½+110u2½+110-u3-135u2½+115u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.86%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 418.04%
Exactly 66.37%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.57%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.74%
Exactly 72.96%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 046.00%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.87%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 08.40%
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 70.95%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.17%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 44.76%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 069.80%
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 031.76%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals2.68%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals52.25%
Wins by 3+ goals30.72%
Wins by 4+ goals15.21%
Wins by 5+ goals6.41%
Wins by 6+ goals2.30%
Wins by 7+ goals0.68%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal6.97%
Wins by 2 goals2.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.47%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal22.24%
Wins by 2 goals21.53%
Wins by 3 goals15.50%
Wins by 4 goals8.80%
Wins by 5 goals4.11%
Wins by 6 goals1.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.54%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.14%3.86%
1.583.57%16.43%
2.563.12%36.88%
3.540.95%59.05%
4.522.91%77.09%
5.511.16%88.84%
6.54.80%95.20%
7.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.00%46.00%
1.518.28%81.72%
2.54.41%95.59%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.60%8.40%
1.570.80%29.20%
2.545.04%54.96%
3.523.76%76.24%
4.510.58%89.42%
5.54.05%95.95%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.83%22.17%
1.544.44%55.56%
2.519.28%80.72%
3.56.65%93.35%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.86%
9.57%
11.85%
9.79%
6.06%
3.00%
1
3.00%
7.43%
9.20%
7.60%
4.71%
2.33%
2
1.16%
2.89%
3.57%
2.95%
1.83%
0.91%
3
0.30%
0.75%
0.93%
0.76%
0.47%
0.23%
Newcastle United
1-03.00%
2-01.16%
2-12.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.75%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-03.86%
1-17.43%
2-23.57%
3-30.76%
Chelsea
0-19.57%
0-211.85%
1-29.20%
0-39.79%
1-37.60%
2-32.95%
0-46.06%
1-44.71%
2-41.83%
3-40.47%
0-53.00%
1-52.33%
2-50.91%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
22.17%
25.43%
14.58%
5.58%
1.60%
0.37%
1
7.97%
9.14%
5.24%
2.00%
0.57%
0.13%
2
1.43%
1.64%
0.94%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-07.97%
2-01.43%
2-11.64%
3-00.17%
3-10.20%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-022.17%
1-19.14%
2-20.94%
Chelsea
0-125.43%
0-214.58%
1-25.24%
0-35.58%
1-32.00%
2-30.36%
0-41.60%
1-40.57%
2-40.10%
0-50.37%
1-50.13%
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