Newcastle United at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

12.2%17.7%70.1%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.31
0Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+175
T 1-1 at West Ham United+420
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+176
W 1-3 vs Everton+153
W 1-0 at Leeds United+305
Chelsea
Money Line
W 4-0 at Burnley-205
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-146
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-140
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-175
L 0-1 at Manchester City+451

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+775+742+650+700+712+700+742+765.6
Chelsea-295-241-240-240-268-240-240-218.1
Draw+400+391+370+390+379+390+391+402.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+935-+700-+620+720+720+765.6
Chelsea-315--250--280-245-245-218.1
Draw+410-+367-+300+360+367+402.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +700 to +650
Chelsea ML moved from -234 to -241

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +716 to +700
No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2½-127o2¾-105o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2½-127o2½-119
Underu2¾+102u2½+112u2¾-115u2¾-116-u2¾-116u2¾-115u2½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135o2½-130-o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130o2½-119
Underu2½+115u2½+115u2½+110-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+115u2½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.22%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 417.65%
Exactly 65.89%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.36%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.17%
Exactly 72.66%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 042.65%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 122.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.10%
Exactly 224.80%
Exactly 44.44%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 312.11%
Exactly 51.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.40%
Exactly 126.59%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.84%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals46.96%
Wins by 3+ goals26.16%
Wins by 4+ goals12.22%
Wins by 5+ goals4.85%
Wins by 6+ goals1.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal8.52%
Wins by 2 goals2.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.12%
Wins by 2 goals20.80%
Wins by 3 goals13.94%
Wins by 4 goals7.38%
Wins by 5 goals3.21%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.78%4.22%
1.582.42%17.58%
2.561.28%38.72%
3.538.97%61.03%
4.521.32%78.68%
5.510.15%89.85%
6.54.25%95.75%
7.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.35%42.65%
1.521.01%78.99%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.21%32.79%
2.540.74%59.26%
3.520.33%79.67%
4.58.53%91.47%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.90%23.10%
1.543.05%56.95%
2.518.25%81.75%
3.56.14%93.86%
4.51.70%98.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
4.22%
9.76%
11.29%
8.71%
5.03%
2.33%
1
3.60%
8.32%
9.62%
7.42%
4.29%
1.98%
2
1.53%
3.54%
4.10%
3.16%
1.83%
0.85%
3
0.44%
1.01%
1.16%
0.90%
0.52%
0.24%
Newcastle United
1-03.60%
2-01.53%
2-13.54%
3-00.44%
3-11.01%
3-21.16%
Draw
0-04.22%
1-18.32%
2-24.10%
3-30.90%
4-40.11%
Chelsea
0-19.76%
0-211.29%
1-29.62%
0-38.71%
1-37.42%
2-33.16%
0-45.03%
1-44.29%
2-41.83%
3-40.52%
0-52.33%
1-51.98%
2-50.85%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
23.10%
24.74%
13.24%
4.73%
1.27%
0.27%
1
9.11%
9.76%
5.23%
1.87%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.80%
1.93%
1.03%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-09.11%
2-01.80%
2-11.93%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-023.10%
1-19.76%
2-21.03%
Chelsea
0-124.74%
0-213.24%
1-25.23%
0-34.73%
1-31.87%
2-30.37%
0-41.27%
1-40.50%
0-50.27%
1-50.11%
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