Manchester City at Arsenal

Updated

Manchester City

55.1%21.0%23.9%
Manchester City WinDrawArsenal Win
1.96Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 0

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Everton-370
W 0-3 vs Tottenham-310
W 4-1 at Liverpool+125
W 2-0 at Burnley-525
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United-650
Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Leeds United-125
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+155
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+118
T 0-0 vs Manchester United+260
W 3-1 at Southampton+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-179--205-215-228-215-205-
Arsenal+460-+575+625+562+625+625-
Draw+285-+350+370+368+370+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-190--220---215-215-
Arsenal+515-+580--+560+580-
Draw+335-+358--+360+360-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -205 to -215
Arsenal ML moved from +575 to +550

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -200 to -220
Arsenal ML moved from +600 to +560

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130-o3+110o2¾-121-o2¾-121o3+110-
Underu2½+110-u3-130u2¾+101-u2¾+101u3-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-135o3+115-o2½-150o2½-145o2½-135-
Underu2½+125u2½+115u3-135-u2½+120u2½+125u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.03%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 415.63%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.93%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.78%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 014.09%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 48.66%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 61.11%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 042.77%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.24%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 040.36%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 067.49%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals38.50%
Wins by 3+ goals19.02%
Wins by 4+ goals7.74%
Wins by 5+ goals2.62%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals4.77%
Wins by 3+ goals1.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Arsenal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.78%
Wins by 2 goals19.49%
Wins by 3 goals11.28%
Wins by 4 goals5.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal10.74%
Wins by 2 goals3.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.97%6.03%
1.577.04%22.96%
2.553.26%46.74%
3.531.00%69.00%
4.515.37%84.63%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.91%14.09%
1.558.29%41.71%
2.531.23%68.77%
3.513.56%86.44%
4.54.91%95.09%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.23%42.77%
1.520.90%79.10%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.76%27.24%
1.537.33%62.67%
2.514.30%85.70%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score01234
0
6.03%
5.12%
2.17%
0.62%
0.13%
1
11.81%
10.03%
4.26%
1.21%
0.26%
2
11.57%
9.83%
4.17%
1.18%
0.25%
3
7.56%
6.42%
2.73%
0.77%
0.16%
4
3.70%
3.14%
1.34%
0.38%
0.08%
5
1.45%
1.23%
0.52%
0.15%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.81%
2-011.57%
2-19.83%
3-07.56%
3-16.42%
3-22.73%
4-03.70%
4-13.14%
4-21.34%
4-30.38%
5-01.45%
5-11.23%
5-20.52%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.03%
1-110.03%
2-24.17%
3-30.77%
Arsenal
0-15.12%
0-22.17%
1-24.26%
0-30.62%
1-31.21%
2-31.18%
0-40.13%
1-40.26%
2-40.25%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score0123
0
27.24%
10.71%
2.11%
0.28%
1
24.71%
9.72%
1.91%
0.25%
2
11.21%
4.41%
0.87%
0.11%
3
3.39%
1.33%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.77%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-024.71%
2-011.21%
2-14.41%
3-03.39%
3-11.33%
3-20.26%
4-00.77%
4-10.30%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-027.24%
1-19.72%
2-20.87%
Arsenal
0-110.71%
0-22.11%
1-21.91%
0-30.28%
1-30.25%
2-30.11%