Aston Villa at Leicester City

Updated

Aston Villa

21.0%22.7%56.3%
Aston Villa WinDrawLeicester City Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.84
2Final Score 1

Leicester City

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-0 at Chelsea+500
W 0-3 vs Bournemouth-140
T 1-1 at West Ham United+225
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+118
W 2-0 at Everton+191
Leicester City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Crystal Palace+215
L 3-1 vs Chelsea+325
L 0-1 at Southampton+155
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+460
L 0-3 at Manchester United+470

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+190+169+160+167-+167+169-
Leicester City+140+175+165+170-+170+175-
Draw+245+251+245+245-+245+251-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+175-+167-+160+170+170-
Leicester City+150-+165-+140+165+165-
Draw+250-+235-+205+230+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +174 to +168
No Steam Moves On Leicester City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +180 to +170
No Steam Moves On Leicester City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-107-
Underu2½-112u2½-107u2½-112u2½-109-u2½-109u2½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-105-
Underu2½-105u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-110u2½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.68%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 416.02%
Exactly 64.39%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.29%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.19%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 035.67%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 015.92%
Exactly 129.26%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.46%
Exactly 47.56%
Exactly 52.78%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.50%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 310.34%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 062.05%
Exactly 129.61%
Exactly 27.07%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 042.71%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.45%
Exactly 34.38%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals7.48%
Wins by 3+ goals2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals32.21%
Wins by 3+ goals14.94%
Wins by 4+ goals5.71%
Wins by 5+ goals1.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Leicester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal13.45%
Wins by 2 goals5.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals17.27%
Wins by 3 goals9.24%
Wins by 4 goals3.89%
Wins by 5 goals1.35%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.32%5.68%
1.578.03%21.97%
2.554.66%45.34%
3.532.32%67.68%
4.516.31%83.69%
5.57.12%92.88%
6.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.33%35.67%
1.527.56%72.44%
2.58.61%91.39%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.08%15.92%
1.554.82%45.18%
2.527.94%72.06%
3.511.48%88.52%
4.53.92%96.08%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.50%26.50%
1.538.30%61.70%
2.514.94%85.06%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Leicester City
Score012345
0
5.68%
10.44%
9.59%
5.87%
2.70%
0.99%
1
5.86%
10.76%
9.88%
6.05%
2.78%
1.02%
2
3.02%
5.55%
5.09%
3.12%
1.43%
0.53%
3
1.04%
1.91%
1.75%
1.07%
0.49%
0.18%
4
0.27%
0.49%
0.45%
0.28%
0.13%
0.05%
Aston Villa
1-05.86%
2-03.02%
2-15.55%
3-01.04%
3-11.91%
3-21.75%
4-00.27%
4-10.49%
4-20.45%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-05.68%
1-110.76%
2-25.09%
3-31.07%
4-40.13%
Leicester City
0-110.44%
0-29.59%
1-29.88%
0-35.87%
1-36.05%
2-33.12%
0-42.70%
1-42.78%
2-41.43%
3-40.49%
0-50.99%
1-51.02%
2-50.53%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Leicester City
Score01234
0
26.50%
22.54%
9.59%
2.72%
0.58%
1
12.65%
10.76%
4.58%
1.30%
0.28%
2
3.02%
2.57%
1.09%
0.31%
0.07%
3
0.48%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-012.65%
2-03.02%
2-12.57%
3-00.48%
3-10.41%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-026.50%
1-110.76%
2-21.09%
Leicester City
0-122.54%
0-29.59%
1-24.58%
0-32.72%
1-31.30%
2-30.31%
0-40.58%
1-40.28%