Manchester City at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester City

54.5%23.3%22.2%
Manchester City WinDrawChelsea Win
1.78Projected Goals 1.05
4Final Score 4

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Bournemouth-1150
W 3-0 at Manchester United-160
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-267
L 0-1 at Arsenal+146
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton-265
Chelsea
Money Line
W 4-1 at Tottenham+205
T 2-2 vs Arsenal+225
W 4-1 at Burnley-145
W 2-0 at Fulham+118
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-150-134-130-135--135-130-
Chelsea+400+396+360+375-+375+396-
Draw+300+278+280+300-+300+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-135--135--170-140-135-
Chelsea+370-+345-+375+370+375-
Draw+280-+295-+250+295+295-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -133 to -140
Chelsea ML moved from +355 to +348

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -128 to -135
Chelsea ML moved from +370 to +320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-112o2½-115o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-112-
Underu2¾-115u2½-103u2½-105u2½+104-u2½+104u2½+104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-120o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-125o2½-120-
Underu2½+105u2½+100u2½+105-u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.68%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 016.83%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.88%
Exactly 47.07%
Exactly 52.52%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 035.01%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.95%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 043.82%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 061.51%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals30.59%
Wins by 3+ goals13.85%
Wins by 4+ goals5.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals8.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals16.74%
Wins by 3 goals8.70%
Wins by 4 goals3.56%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal14.08%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.43%22.57%
2.553.81%46.19%
3.531.51%68.49%
4.515.73%84.27%
5.56.79%93.21%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.17%16.83%
1.553.18%46.82%
2.526.46%73.54%
3.510.59%89.41%
4.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.99%35.01%
1.528.25%71.75%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.05%26.95%
1.537.71%62.29%
2.514.55%85.45%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score01234
0
5.89%
6.18%
3.24%
1.14%
0.30%
1
10.50%
11.02%
5.78%
2.02%
0.53%
2
9.36%
9.82%
5.15%
1.80%
0.47%
3
5.56%
5.83%
3.06%
1.07%
0.28%
4
2.48%
2.60%
1.36%
0.48%
0.13%
5
0.88%
0.93%
0.49%
0.17%
0.04%
Manchester City
1-010.50%
2-09.36%
2-19.82%
3-05.56%
3-15.83%
3-23.06%
4-02.48%
4-12.60%
4-21.36%
4-30.48%
5-00.88%
5-10.93%
5-20.49%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.89%
1-111.02%
2-25.15%
3-31.07%
4-40.13%
Chelsea
0-16.18%
0-23.24%
1-25.78%
0-31.14%
1-32.02%
2-31.80%
0-40.30%
1-40.53%
2-40.47%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score0123
0
26.95%
13.10%
3.18%
0.52%
1
22.24%
10.81%
2.63%
0.43%
2
9.18%
4.46%
1.08%
0.18%
3
2.52%
1.23%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.52%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-022.24%
2-09.18%
2-14.46%
3-02.52%
3-11.23%
3-20.30%
4-00.52%
4-10.25%
Draw
0-026.95%
1-110.81%
2-21.08%
Chelsea
0-113.10%
0-23.18%
1-22.63%
0-30.52%
1-30.43%
2-30.18%