English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chelsea
Leicester City 		36.6%
36.2%		27.2%
-165
+410

1.24
1.23		2.47
o3¼+103
u3¼-119

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa 		26.4%
47.6%		26.1%
+450
-160

1.03
1.49		2.52
o2¾-110
u2¾+100

Wolverhampton
Fulham 		49.8%
23.7%		26.4%
+395
-148

1.47
0.93		2.40
o2¾-110
u2¾-104

Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth 		44.6%
27.7%		27.6%
+195
+138

1.34
0.99		2.33
o3-105
u3-109

Tottenham
Manchester City 		13.8%
67.4%		18.8%
+475
-190

0.89
2.22		3.11
o3½-105
u3½-110

Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Chelsea		27.0%
47.8%		25.2%
+145
+205
+146
+205
1
1		-1.26394-1.25187-1.38023
Leicester City
Manchester United		24.1%
51.4%		24.5%
+810
-305
+775
-305
0
3		-0.31552-0.32849-0.66614
Aston Villa
Liverpool		12.2%
70.3%		17.5%
+565
-205
+600
-220
0
2		-0.42768-0.40656-0.35253
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		75.5%
8.7%		15.8%
-124
+322
-130
+320
1
2		-1.46807-1.47841-2.44265
Fulham
Crystal Palace		24.4%
48.1%		27.5%
+126
+248
+125
+240
2
0		-0.84332-0.85170-1.40981
Everton
West Ham United		36.9%
35.7%		27.4%
+262
+115
+250
+110
0
0		-1.26284-1.28884-1.29328
Southampton
Wolverhampton		30.9%
42.1%		26.9%
+300
-105
+315
-105
0
2		-0.69750-0.68868-0.86410
Chelsea
Manchester United		27.9%
47.1%		25.0%
+157
+170
+150
+164
1
1		-1.32159-1.36622-1.38633
Aston Villa
Tottenham		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+270
-105
+260
-110
1
4		-0.69507-0.69111-0.56666
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton		24.2%
49.0%		26.8%
+207
+145
+205
+143
2
2		-1.25138-1.22469-1.31722
Manchester City
Bournemouth		83.1%
5.2%		11.6%
-185
+525
-190
+510
1
2		-1.86343-1.85119-2.94732
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool		9.6%
73.7%		16.7%
+685
-275
+610
-268
1
2		-0.34568-0.36677-0.30560
Everton
Southampton		37.6%
35.6%		26.8%
+172
+172
+169
+170
0
1		-1.03386-1.03308-1.03350
Arsenal
Newcastle United		54.6%
21.3%		24.1%
-102
+297
+100
+275
0
1		-1.40911-1.36156-1.54773
Liverpool
Arsenal		49.0%
25.4%		25.6%
+233
+127
+230
+125
2
2		-1.25811-1.26450-1.36344
Newcastle United
Chelsea		12.2%
70.1%		17.7%
+320
-122
+320
-130
1
2		-0.62972-0.61954-0.35465
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.