English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Liverpool
Burnley 		69.0%
11.9%		19.1%
-297
+825
-325
+835
2.09
0.74		2.83
o3¼+103
u3¼-119
o3-120
u3+110
Manchester United
Manchester City 		20.1%
57.1%		22.8%
+335
-128
+325
-125
0.99
1.82		2.81
o3-116
u3+100
o3-115
u3+100
Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Sep 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tottenham
West Ham United		45.9%
28.7%		25.4%
+119
+231
+115
+240
3
0		-0.81828-0.80107-0.77875
Sunderland
Crystal Palace		14.3%
62.9%		22.8%
+450
-140
+455
-140
0
0		-1.35305-1.32141-1.47766
Aston Villa
Everton		27.6%
47.4%		25.0%
+186
+162
+175
+160
0
0		-1.22772-1.26528-1.38593
Leeds United
Fulham		41.0%
30.9%		28.1%
+285
+108
+275
+110
0
1		-0.76641-0.78419-1.17600
Wolverhampton
Newcastle United		44.0%
28.7%		27.3%
+810
-270
+780
-265
0
1		-0.35015-0.36622-1.24956
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth		44.6%
27.7%		27.6%
+190
+144
+195
+136
1
2		-0.92619-0.90209-1.28240
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa		26.4%
47.6%		26.1%
+266
+111
+280
+113
3
0		-1.33219-1.36141-1.33347
Arsenal
Liverpool		19.2%
57.9%		22.9%
+209
+140
+205
+140
0
1		-0.90929-0.91339-0.54706
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		75.5%
8.7%		15.8%
+103
+277
+100
+290
1
2		-1.35697-1.38661-2.44265
Newcastle United
Leeds United		29.2%
44.0%		26.8%
+104
+285
+105
+280
0
0		-1.29810-1.29291-1.31658
Bournemouth
Tottenham		9.9%
73.8%		16.2%
+307
-110
+300
-110
1
0		-1.43780-1.42599-2.31001
Everton
Wolverhampton		35.2%
36.5%		28.3%
+135
+235
+155
+245
3
2		-0.88751-0.93158-1.04347
Burnley
Manchester United		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+690
-250
+690
-240
2
3		-0.37090-0.38419-0.32153
Fulham
Chelsea		9.7%
74.2%		16.1%
+445
-145
+440
-150
0
2		-0.55898-0.53950-0.29874
Liverpool
Newcastle United		70.6%
11.5%		17.9%
+130
+210
+130
+205
3
2		-0.85665-0.86531-0.34832
Manchester United
Fulham		71.5%
10.9%		17.6%
+111
+255
+108
+255
1
1		-1.31580-1.32036-1.73591
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-0-2 (0.833)0-0.90697 
Sportsbooks64-0-2 (0.833)0-0.90671 
DRatings61-3-2 (0.333)0-1.22505
-0.31808
-0.31834

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.