English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brighton and Hove Albion
Crystal Palace 		32.0%
38.5%		29.5%
+212
+130

1.01
1.14		2.15
o2¾-109
u2¾-107

Bournemouth
Aston Villa 		17.1%
61.5%		21.4%
+239
+122

0.92
1.95		2.87
o2½-116
u2½+100

Liverpool
Manchester City 		23.4%
52.0%		24.6%
+294
-114

1.02
1.64		2.66
o3¼-102
u3¼-114

Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Everton
Sunderland		68.7%
11.9%		19.3%
+137
+235
+155
+235
1
1		-1.19336-1.14457-1.64367
Bournemouth
Manchester City		3.9%
86.4%		9.7%
+590
-233
+610
-205
1
3		-0.39161-0.39720-0.14676
Newcastle United
West Ham United		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
-154
+420
-165
+425
1
3		-1.68201-1.70287-0.64710
Aston Villa
Liverpool		12.2%
70.3%		17.5%
+395
-157
+390
-151
0
2		-0.52361-0.55102-0.35253
Chelsea
Tottenham		37.1%
36.4%		26.5%
+138
+205
+136
+208
1
0		-0.90029-0.89703-0.99266
Leeds United
Brighton and Hove Albion		32.2%
39.6%		28.2%
+292
-105
+285
-102
0
3		-0.70382-0.72489-0.92591
Wolverhampton
Fulham		49.8%
23.7%		26.4%
+360
-121
+363
-120
0
3		-0.63346-0.64093-1.43818
Arsenal
Burnley		53.0%
21.6%		25.3%
-420
+1350
-400
+1150
2
0		-0.24363-0.26876-0.63435
Tottenham
Everton		40.7%
33.0%		26.3%
+229
+130
+230
+130
3
0		-1.22489-1.22960-0.89855
Crystal Palace
Arsenal		17.6%
59.3%		23.1%
+800
-265
+770
-260
0
1		-0.35472-0.36583-0.52339
Burnley
Wolverhampton		22.5%
51.3%		26.2%
+350
-105
+340
-105
3
2		-1.53907-1.51891-1.49192
Manchester City
Aston Villa		72.3%
11.0%		16.7%
-118
+350
-120
+335
0
1		-1.53040-1.50463-2.20482
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		11.4%
70.7%		17.9%
+263
+101
+250
+102
2
4		-0.72396-0.74608-0.34660
Fulham
Newcastle United		26.9%
45.8%		27.2%
+500
-170
+500
-170
1
2		-0.49645-0.50788-0.78034
Sunderland
Chelsea		5.4%
82.6%		12.0%
+735
-235
+675
-235
2
1		-2.15356-2.09273-2.92471
West Ham United
Leeds United		39.5%
33.1%		27.4%
+365
-122
+380
-128
1
2		-0.63294-0.61654-1.10434
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19336 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.14457 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.64367
-0.45031
-0.49910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.