English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 10, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bournemouth
Everton 		13.7%
66.8%		19.5%
+200
+145

0.83
2.11		2.94
o2½-118
u2½+102

Leeds United
Chelsea 		14.0%
67.0%		18.9%
+465
-175

0.90
2.20		3.10
o2¾-121
u2¾+105

Newcastle United
Tottenham 		14.6%
66.0%		19.5%
+145
+184

0.90
2.14		3.04
o2½-120
u2¾-120

Manchester United
West Ham United 		56.7%
20.6%		22.7%
-141
+350

1.84
1.02		2.86
o3-102
u3-112

Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Feb 11, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester City
Liverpool		42.9%
30.2%		26.8%
+212
+120
+208
+120
2
1		-1.17141-1.15992-0.84555
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		31.1%
39.5%		29.4%
+250
+127
+250
+123
1
0		-1.28616-1.29375-1.16790
West Ham United
Burnley		42.1%
30.3%		27.7%
+123
+225
+125
+220
2
0		-0.83533-0.85271-0.86614
Aston Villa
Bournemouth		52.8%
22.9%		24.3%
+142
+190
+135
+193
1
1		-1.32625-1.33071-1.41519
Sunderland
Arsenal		7.0%
78.2%		14.8%
+1225
-385
+1100
-380
0
3		-0.26676-0.27444-0.24590
Everton
Fulham		54.5%
21.3%		24.2%
+258
+118
+245
+120
2
1		-1.30956-1.28471-0.60730
Chelsea
Wolverhampton		48.9%
25.9%		25.2%
-169
+482
-173
+455
3
1		-0.49957-0.50157-0.71445
Tottenham
Manchester United		24.1%
52.0%		23.8%
+455
-167
+440
-170
0
2		-0.50418-0.48985-0.65314
Burnley
Sunderland		52.6%
20.6%		26.7%
+350
-104
+395
-115
0
3		-0.70818-0.65626-1.57968
Manchester City
Tottenham		59.3%
18.9%		21.8%
-154
+430
-146
+400
2
2		-1.46395-1.44770-1.52294
Fulham
Manchester United		7.8%
77.4%		14.7%
+485
-184
+445
-175
2
3		-0.46825-0.49512-0.25603
Newcastle United
Liverpool		8.3%
76.7%		15.0%
+395
-152
+395
-150
1
4		-0.53749-0.54481-0.26497
West Ham United
Chelsea		18.6%
60.1%		21.3%
+445
-170
+500
-170
2
3		-0.49735-0.48342-0.50951
Arsenal
Leeds United		50.9%
24.0%		25.1%
-172
+533
-170
+555
4
0		-0.48634-0.48392-0.67574
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton		15.7%
62.4%		21.9%
+141
+203
+135
+200
2
0		-0.91387-0.90039-1.85342
Everton
Brighton and Hove Albion		44.4%
28.8%		26.9%
+322
-105
+340
-120
1
1		-1.28706-1.34438-1.31435
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.22878 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.22684 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.00672
0.22206
0.22011

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.