English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tottenham
Sunderland 		75.4%
8.7%		15.9%
+170
+166

2.38
0.68		3.06
o2½-105
u2½-111

Newcastle United
Crystal Palace 		29.3%
42.4%		28.2%
+150
+188

1.01
1.27		2.28
o2¾-105
u2¾-110

Manchester City
Chelsea 		54.5%
22.2%		23.3%
+120
+213

1.78
1.05		2.83
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Apr 11, 2026
Games for Apr 13, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Aston Villa		33.7%
39.7%		26.6%
+364
-128
+365
-130
0
2		-0.61203-0.61439-0.92455
Sunderland
Newcastle United		15.9%
61.3%		22.8%
+555
-185
+535
-175
2
1		-1.91325-1.87987-1.84068
Chelsea
Everton		45.7%
29.0%		25.3%
+125
+228
+129
+230
0
3		-1.21686-1.22305-1.23763
Burnley
Fulham		37.3%
32.8%		29.9%
+525
-184
+530
-190
1
3		-0.46860-0.46828-1.11520
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		67.0%
13.2%		19.8%
+122
+225
+120
+220
1
2		-1.20457-1.19978-2.02261
Manchester United
Bournemouth		74.7%
9.3%		16.0%
+119
+220
+127
+225
2
2		-1.36677-1.33655-1.83452
Tottenham
Liverpool		20.7%
56.6%		22.7%
+770
-318
+720
-315
1
1		-1.87438-1.88618-1.48109
Leeds United
Crystal Palace		32.4%
38.9%		28.7%
+174
+180
+190
+175
0
0		-1.20801-1.21382-1.24963
Aston Villa
Manchester United		14.5%
66.5%		19.0%
+392
-140
+380
-143
1
3		-0.56902-0.57300-0.40770
Manchester City
West Ham United		71.0%
11.6%		17.4%
-162
+425
-156
+410
1
1		-1.53466-1.49593-1.74778
Everton
Arsenal		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+800
-265
+800
-265
0
2		-0.35472-0.35977-0.75722
Newcastle United
Chelsea		12.2%
70.1%		17.7%
+350
-138
+350
-135
1
0		-1.53809-1.52777-2.10414
Brighton and Hove Albion
Sunderland		55.9%
18.8%		25.3%
+110
+265
+100
+290
1
0		-0.76949-0.73054-0.58137
Bournemouth
Burnley		23.4%
50.1%		26.5%
-116
+306
-125
+325
0
0		-1.41342-1.40715-1.32821
Crystal Palace
Tottenham		16.4%
62.2%		21.4%
+194
+150
+195
+155
3
1		-1.10797-1.10930-1.81088
Manchester United
Newcastle United		67.2%
13.7%		19.1%
+155
+172
+155
+165
1
2		-1.03027-1.01011-1.99136
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.