Ajax at Marseille

Updated

Ajax

47.9%26.0%26.1%
Ajax WinDrawMarseille Win
1.49Projected Goals 1.03
3Final Score 4

Marseille

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Marseille+150
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
W 2-0 at Young Boys-120
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-165
Marseille
Money Line
T 3-3 at Ajax+170
W 0-1 vs Loko Moscow-310
L 2-4 at Galatasaray+165
T 2-2 vs Lazio+120
T 0-0 at Lazio+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+380+450+420+443-+443+450-
Marseille-155-178-180-180--180-178-
Draw+320+365+370+380-+380+380-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+390---+450+450+450-
Marseille-155----225-185-185-
Draw+320---+300+355+355-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 60.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +450 to +443
Marseille ML moved from -160 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 60.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +500 to +450
Marseille ML moved from -190 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+118o3¼+102o3¼-111-o3¼-111o3¼+102-
Underu3-120u3½-133u3¼-122u3¼-109-u3¼-109u3½-133-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100---o3-145o3-140o3-140-
Underu3-120---u3+115u3+120u3+120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3½+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.02%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 022.44%
Exactly 133.53%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 312.48%
Exactly 44.66%
Exactly 51.39%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 035.73%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 050.06%
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 211.98%
Exactly 32.76%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 062.10%
Exactly 129.59%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals23.97%
Wins by 3+ goals9.45%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals9.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Marseille
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals14.52%
Wins by 3 goals6.46%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal16.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.98%8.02%
1.571.75%28.25%
2.546.22%53.78%
3.524.75%75.25%
4.511.20%88.80%
5.54.36%95.64%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.56%22.44%
1.544.03%55.97%
2.518.97%81.03%
3.56.49%93.51%
4.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.27%35.73%
1.527.50%72.50%
2.58.57%91.43%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Marseille
Score01234
0
8.02%
8.25%
4.25%
1.46%
0.37%
1
11.98%
12.33%
6.34%
2.18%
0.56%
2
8.95%
9.21%
4.74%
1.63%
0.42%
3
4.46%
4.59%
2.36%
0.81%
0.21%
4
1.67%
1.71%
0.88%
0.30%
0.08%
5
0.50%
0.51%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
Ajax
1-011.98%
2-08.95%
2-19.21%
3-04.46%
3-14.59%
3-22.36%
4-01.67%
4-11.71%
4-20.88%
4-30.30%
5-00.50%
5-10.51%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-08.02%
1-112.33%
2-24.74%
3-30.81%
Marseille
0-18.25%
0-24.25%
1-26.34%
0-31.46%
1-32.18%
2-31.63%
0-40.37%
1-40.56%
2-40.42%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Marseille
Score0123
0
31.09%
14.81%
3.53%
0.56%
1
21.51%
10.25%
2.44%
0.39%
2
7.44%
3.55%
0.84%
0.13%
3
1.72%
0.82%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.30%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Ajax
1-021.51%
2-07.44%
2-13.55%
3-01.72%
3-10.82%
3-20.19%
4-00.30%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-031.09%
1-110.25%
2-20.84%
Marseille
0-114.81%
0-23.53%
1-22.44%
0-30.56%
1-30.39%
2-30.13%