Paris Saint-Germain at Lille

Updated 115 days ago

06:45 PM • Sep 1, 2024

Paris Saint-Germain

73.8%16.1%10.1%

Paris Saint-Germain WinDrawWin

2.45Projected Goals 0.79

3Final Score 1

Lille

Last 5 Games

Paris Saint-Germain		Money Line
W 0-6	8/23 vs Montpellier	-480
W 2-0	5/19 at Metz	-140
W 2-1	5/15 at Nice	+210
L 3-1	5/12 vs Toulouse	-275
W 4-1	4/24 at Lorient	-250

Lille		Money Line
W 0-2	8/24 vs Angers	-300
W 2-0	8/17 at Reims	+155
T 2-2	5/19 vs Nice	-200
W 2-1	5/12 at Nantes	-125
L 4-3	5/06 vs Lyon	+105

Money Line Analysis

:3.4%:4.8%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	-102	-	-	-128	-	-128	-128	-
Lille	+280	-	-	+355	-	+355	+355	-
Draw	+275	-	-	+294	-	+294	+294	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	-115	-	-	-	-140	-130	-130	-
Lille	+300	-	-	-	+270	+325	+325	-
Draw	+275	-	-	-	+255	+300	+300	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Paris Saint-Germain: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Paris Saint-Germain: 10.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -112 to -12009/01/2024
03:13 PM

Lille ML moved from +312 to +29509/01/2024
05:10 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -120 to -13009/01/2024
05:52 PM

Lille ML moved from +280 to +27009/01/2024
12:33 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.2%:4.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-104	-	-	o2¾-125	-	o2¾-125	o2¾-125	-
Under	u2¾-116	-	-	u2¾+105	-	u2¾+105	u2¾+105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-130	-	-	-	-	o3+110	o3+110	-
Under	u2½+110	-	-	-	-	u3-130	u3-130	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	49.9%


No	50.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	3.93%
Exactly 2	20.58%
Exactly 4	17.97%
Exactly 6	6.28%
Exactly 8	1.17%
Exactly 10	0.14%


Exactly 1	12.72%
Exactly 3	22.21%
Exactly 5	11.63%
Exactly 7	2.90%
Exactly 9	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	8.66%
Exactly 1	21.18%
Exactly 2	25.91%
Exactly 3	21.14%
Exactly 4	12.93%
Exactly 5	6.33%
Exactly 6	2.58%
Exactly 7	0.90%
Exactly 8	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 0	45.38%
Exactly 1	35.86%
Exactly 2	14.17%
Exactly 3	3.73%
Exactly 4	0.74%
Exactly 5	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	22.34%
Exactly 2	25.09%
Exactly 4	4.70%
Exactly 6	0.35%


Exactly 1	33.48%
Exactly 3	12.54%
Exactly 5	1.41%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	32.21%
Exactly 1	36.49%
Exactly 2	20.67%
Exactly 3	7.81%
Exactly 4	2.21%
Exactly 5	0.50%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 0	69.36%
Exactly 1	25.38%
Exactly 2	4.64%
Exactly 3	0.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals	51.29%
Wins by 3+ goals	29.86%
Wins by 4+ goals	14.64%
Wins by 5+ goals	6.10%

Lille
Wins by 2+ goals	2.84%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Paris Saint-Germain

Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal	22.43%
Wins by 2 goals	21.42%
Wins by 3 goals	15.23%
Wins by 4 goals	8.54%
Wins by 5 goals	3.93%

Lille
Wins by 1 goal	7.24%
Wins by 2 goals	2.23%
Wins by 3 goals	0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	96.07%	3.93%
1.5	83.36%	16.64%
2.5	62.78%	37.22%
3.5	40.57%	59.43%
4.5	22.60%	77.40%
5.5	10.97%	89.03%
6.5	4.69%	95.31%
7.5	1.79%	98.21%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.34%	8.66%
1.5	70.16%	29.84%
2.5	44.25%	55.75%
3.5	23.11%	76.89%
4.5	10.18%	89.82%
5.5	3.86%	96.14%
6.5	1.28%	98.72%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	54.62%	45.38%
1.5	18.77%	81.23%
2.5	4.60%	95.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.66%	22.34%
1.5	44.18%	55.82%
2.5	19.08%	80.92%
3.5	6.55%	93.45%
4.5	1.85%	98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paris Saint-Germain

Lille

Score	0	1	2	3
0	3.93%	3.10%	1.23%	0.32%
1	9.61%	7.59%	3.00%	0.79%
2	11.76%	9.29%	3.67%	0.97%
3	9.59%	7.58%	2.99%	0.79%
4	5.87%	4.64%	1.83%	0.48%
5	2.87%	2.27%	0.90%	0.24%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	9.61%
2-0	11.76%
2-1	9.29%
3-0	9.59%
3-1	7.58%
3-2	2.99%
4-0	5.87%
4-1	4.64%
4-2	1.83%
4-3	0.48%
5-0	2.87%
5-1	2.27%
5-2	0.90%
5-3	0.24%

Draw
0-0	3.93%
1-1	7.59%
2-2	3.67%
3-3	0.79%

Lille
0-1	3.10%
0-2	1.23%
1-2	3.00%
0-3	0.32%
1-3	0.79%
2-3	0.97%

Correct Score - First Half

Paris Saint-Germain

Lille

Score	0	1	2	3
0	22.34%	8.17%	1.50%	0.18%
1	25.31%	9.26%	1.69%	0.21%
2	14.34%	5.25%	0.96%	0.12%
3	5.41%	1.98%	0.36%	0.04%
4	1.53%	0.56%	0.10%	0.01%
5	0.35%	0.13%	0.02%	0.00%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	25.31%
2-0	14.34%
2-1	5.25%
3-0	5.41%
3-1	1.98%
3-2	0.36%
4-0	1.53%
4-1	0.56%
4-2	0.10%
5-0	0.35%
5-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	22.34%
1-1	9.26%
2-2	0.96%

Lille
0-1	8.17%
0-2	1.50%
1-2	1.69%
0-3	0.18%
1-3	0.21%
2-3	0.12%

Rennes at Reims

Lille at Saint-Etienne

Paris Saint-Germain at Lille