France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Strasbourg
Lille 		17.2%
60.2%		22.5%
+423
-140
+410
-150
0.86
1.82		2.68
o2½-120
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
Paris Saint-Germain
Reims 		81.0%
5.6%		13.3%
-227
+600
-235
+575
2.53
0.52		3.05
o3-128
u3+108
o3-120
u3+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Saint-Etienne
Nice 		29.9%
44.1%		26.0%
+615
-202
+540
-190
2.60
o2½-120
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
1st H
44:00		0
6

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Reims
Nantes		37.2%
30.7%		32.1%
+160
+192
+155
+185
1
0		-0.97649-0.98556-0.98980
Lille
Marseille		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+330
+120
+300
-110
0
0		-1.27443-1.33124-1.27880
Lens
Lorient		26.1%
46.1%		27.8%
-115
+375
-135
+375
0
0		-1.37413-1.37215-1.28154
Strasbourg
Rennes		30.5%
40.5%		29.0%
+625
-162
+625
-225
1
1		-1.49933-1.55519-1.23774
Monaco
Lille		18.8%
59.7%		21.4%
+198
+150
+175
+140
0
2		-0.91091-0.92480-0.51507
Nantes
Lens		46.1%
26.2%		27.7%
+479
-162
+450
-170
0
4		-0.50407-0.51371-1.33930
Lorient
Reims		19.1%
53.4%		27.4%
+411
-135
+375
-145
0
1		-0.56254-0.57263-0.62736
Reims
Toulouse		72.2%
8.6%		19.2%
+177
+170
+160
+170
1
1		-1.26972-1.26107-1.65271
Montpellier
Nantes		37.3%
32.8%		29.9%
+135
+213
+135
+190
0
2		-1.16357-1.11544-1.11514
Rennes
Lorient		45.4%
26.5%		28.1%
-111
+335
-115
+290
1
2		-1.48908-1.41075-1.32772
Marseille
Nice		48.3%
26.1%		25.6%
+231
+137
+215
+135
0
1		-0.88520-0.90387-1.34224
Lens
Le Havre		33.9%
36.0%		30.1%
-115
+376
-115
+340
0
0		-1.30748-1.28906-1.20051
Lille
Lens		70.7%
11.0%		18.2%
+207
+145
+205
+135
1
1		-1.26181-1.25956-1.70375
Lorient
Lyon		11.5%
70.1%		18.4%
+370
-125
+375
-145
3
3		-1.40446-1.43734-1.69489
Toulouse
Brest		9.4%
73.5%		17.1%
+425
-140
+390
-135
1
1		-1.38107-1.35600-1.76750
Le Havre
Marseille		10.9%
70.0%		19.1%
+625
-207
+565
-215
0
3		-0.41879-0.43329-0.35673
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.