France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Monaco		48.1%
27.4%		24.5%
+293
-120
+285
-125
0
2		-0.63296-0.63713-1.29415
Nice
Rennes		25.5%
49.0%		25.5%
+119
+220
+110
+235
0
2		-1.19491-1.24612-0.71355
Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier		83.6%
5.1%		11.3%
-255
+605
-270
+590
4
1		-0.36494-0.36544-0.17902
Strasbourg
Angers		38.3%
33.3%		28.5%
-120
+347
-125
+330
1
2		-1.52588-1.50860-1.10024
Saint-Etienne
Reims		21.4%
51.3%		27.3%
+242
+115
+245
+110
2
0		-1.25706-1.28500-1.54150
Marseille
Lille		23.3%
51.1%		25.6%
+210
+140
+200
+140
1
1		-1.26705-1.25632-1.36301
Montpellier
Brest		41.4%
30.1%		28.5%
+750
-280
+800
-325
0
1		-0.33853-0.31825-1.20091
Angers
Nantes		30.4%
41.5%		28.2%
+347
-105
+350
-115
1
0		-1.53123-1.55405-1.19231
Monaco
Saint-Etienne		45.7%
29.1%		25.2%
-218
+525
-220
+500
3
1		-0.40782-0.42372-0.78285
Rennes
Toulouse		73.8%
8.9%		17.3%
+253
+112
+240
+115
1
2		-0.78366-0.81744-2.41811
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		84.6%
4.8%		10.6%
+187
+137
+175
+135
1
2		-0.89722-0.90542-3.03655
Reims
Nice		40.5%
30.3%		29.2%
+685
-252
+715
-280
0
1		-0.36229-0.35593-1.19485
Brest
Marseille		18.5%
58.1%		23.4%
+735
-270
+700
-275
1
4		-0.34276-0.35782-0.54347
Toulouse
Nantes		8.3%
75.0%		16.7%
+170
+187
+165
+185
0
0		-1.19399-1.18097-1.79234
Reims
Montpellier		31.4%
36.1%		32.5%
-115
+328
-120
+320
0
0		-1.37595-1.37074-1.12507
Lille
Angers		59.5%
18.1%		22.4%
-205
+640
-230
+675
2
0		-0.42636-0.41048-0.51936
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.