France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-123
u2¾+105
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rennes
Lyon		19.8%
56.4%		23.8%
+410
-157
+365
-150
1
4		-0.52162-0.55995-0.57286
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg		24.0%
50.3%		25.7%
+490
-185
+475
-190
1
3		-0.45872-0.46604-0.68709
Nice
Paris Saint-Germain		2.8%
90.4%		6.8%
+455
-185
+375
-160
3
1		-1.74870-1.60754-3.56137
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		86.3%
4.1%		9.7%
-258
+640
-275
+625
1
1		-1.75365-1.76393-2.33645
Lyon
Saint-Etienne		60.6%
17.7%		21.7%
-162
+415
-165
+385
1
2		-1.67312-1.62872-1.72912
Toulouse
Reims		6.4%
77.2%		16.4%
+112
+262
+110
+255
0
1		-1.31569-1.31763-0.25886
Angers
Nice		32.6%
40.8%		26.6%
+785
-262
+775
-280
1
2		-0.35748-0.35525-0.89681
Montpellier
Marseille		25.8%
46.5%		27.6%
+1650
-650
+1500
-675
1
5		-0.17742-0.18801-0.76507
Strasbourg
Monaco		30.4%
43.5%		26.1%
+515
-200
+500
-200
0
0		-1.63830-1.60107-1.34469
Nantes
Rennes		26.5%
45.5%		28.0%
+355
-115
+385
-135
1
2		-0.65034-0.60398-0.78735
Montpellier
Angers		39.8%
31.7%		28.5%
+312
-101
+310
-105
0
2		-0.71472-0.71001-1.14870
Brest
Saint-Etienne		33.3%
38.6%		28.1%
+105
+257
+100
+250
3
3		-1.36559-1.37279-1.26965
Nice
Strasbourg		26.7%
47.7%		25.6%
+152
+187
+155
+175
2
2		-1.28327-1.27247-1.36234
Lille
Toulouse		84.4%
4.5%		11.1%
+142
+222
+160
+185
2
1		-0.91023-1.00239-0.16953
Marseille
Monaco		38.6%
34.4%		27.0%
+280
-110
+250
-105
0
3		-0.67704-0.71885-1.06732
Toulouse
Marseille		5.0%
82.8%		12.3%
+387
-138
+370
-140
2
3		-0.57959-0.58709-0.18918
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.