France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+148
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-123
u2¾+105
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Marseille		39.8%
32.3%		27.9%
+260
+105
+265
+100
2
3		-0.74959-0.74360-1.13097
Strasbourg
Rennes		30.5%
40.5%		29.0%
+340
-105
+280
+105
0
1		-0.69794-0.76613-0.90365
Nantes
Reims		24.6%
45.3%		30.0%
+248
+127
+245
+120
2
1		-1.27748-1.28913-1.40104
Nice
Toulouse		69.8%
11.9%		18.2%
+144
+213
+150
+190
1
1		-1.23643-1.22984-1.70210
Saint-Etienne
Lille		11.8%
70.0%		18.2%
+625
-195
+650
-230
1
4		-0.43252-0.40988-0.35685
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		87.9%
3.6%		8.5%
-283
+765
-310
+775
5
2		-0.33669-0.32738-0.12886
Marseille
Nice		48.3%
26.1%		25.6%
+165
+172
+165
+165
0
2		-1.03572-1.02223-1.34224
Lyon
Nantes		54.5%
21.1%		24.4%
-112
+320
-120
+320
1
1		-1.35429-1.37074-1.41104
Montpellier
Toulouse		74.0%
8.8%		17.2%
+433
-147
+410
-145
2
1		-1.70556-1.67906-0.30167
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		4.2%
84.5%		11.2%
+1150
-510
+1225
-575
1
1		-2.15218-2.15762-2.18774
Lille
Strasbourg		51.7%
22.9%		25.4%
+145
+220
+135
+210
1
2		-1.18656-1.17697-1.47451
Rennes
Monaco		31.5%
41.8%		26.7%
+435
-142
+400
-150
2
3		-0.56600-0.56263-0.87156
Strasbourg
Marseille		24.6%
48.6%		26.8%
+460
-168
+440
-175
1
1		-1.53137-1.52033-1.31531
Nantes
Saint-Etienne		36.2%
34.7%		29.1%
+147
+211
+155
+195
1
1		-1.22295-1.18375-1.23553
Toulouse
Lyon		3.7%
86.9%		9.4%
+335
-122
+295
-115
0
0		-1.40580-1.38494-2.36000
Brest
Rennes		23.8%
49.9%		26.3%
+320
+104
+330
-105
2
1		-1.46413-1.50973-1.43569
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.