France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-123
u2¾+105
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Lille		13.2%
68.3%		18.5%
+315
-102
+250
+125
1
2		-0.71052-0.83492-0.38087
Monaco
Montpellier		33.3%
39.5%		27.2%
-160
+435
-180
+435
1
2		-1.70128-1.72777-0.92763
Saint-Etienne
Paris Saint-Germain		2.7%
90.5%		6.8%
+2100
-850
+2000
-975
1
2		-0.14604-0.14628-0.10019
Angers
Montpellier		25.0%
48.6%		26.4%
+282
+112
+275
+110
3
1		-1.35926-1.37105-1.38657
Strasbourg
Toulouse		73.2%
9.3%		17.4%
+300
-101
+340
-105
2
1		-1.41614-1.51467-0.31184
Marseille
Rennes		38.2%
32.1%		29.6%
+135
+225
+135
+220
2
1		-0.88826-0.90372-0.96215
Nice
Reims		23.8%
49.1%		27.0%
+156
+188
+160
+175
4
2		-0.97146-1.00550-1.43397
Lyon
Brest		59.0%
18.6%		22.4%
+111
+260
+110
+260
1
2		-1.30626-1.32791-1.68147
Monaco
Nantes		39.7%
33.2%		27.1%
+112
+300
-130
+380
2
2		-1.21838-1.33097-1.30424
Brest
Angers		30.7%
41.9%		27.4%
+136
+240
+120
+250
0
2		-1.24897-1.29960-0.87017
Montpellier
Lyon		20.0%
56.1%		23.9%
+710
-275
+700
-300
0
1		-0.33895-0.33543-0.57748
Nantes
Lille		14.3%
64.8%		20.9%
+638
-195
+575
-200
1
1		-1.48726-1.49584-1.56394
Reims
Saint-Etienne		42.8%
27.4%		29.8%
+116
+255
+110
+250
1
3		-1.29295-1.30324-1.29503
Rennes
Nice		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+215
+145
+215
+140
2
3		-0.92614-0.91644-1.12655
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		85.2%
5.0%		9.7%
-125
+331
-130
+325
4
2		-0.62168-0.61982-0.15970
Lyon
Paris Saint-Germain		6.5%
81.3%		12.2%
+700
-278
+690
-300
1
3		-0.34253-0.33694-0.20684
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.