France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+144
+221
+135
+225
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+103
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+407
-152
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-124
u3-120
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Saint-Etienne		41.4%
30.6%		27.9%
+110
+255
+105
+260
0
2		-1.29120-1.32336-1.18277
Nice
Brest		34.2%
38.6%		27.1%
+163
+200
+165
+195
1
0		-0.99271-1.02304-1.07254
Lyon
Lille		30.2%
43.0%		26.8%
+210
+125
+210
+120
1
1		-1.36473-1.34458-1.31822
Angers
Monaco		24.7%
51.6%		23.7%
+1075
-400
+1100
-475
1
0		-2.49241-2.53591-1.39918
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		80.3%
6.7%		13.0%
-120
+320
-125
+310
3
0		-0.64097-0.63605-0.21957
Monaco
Nice		42.8%
32.2%		25.0%
-104
+308
+105
+260
1
2		-1.42745-1.33094-1.13336
Toulouse
Montpellier		6.5%
79.0%		14.5%
+116
+235
+110
+235
3
0		-0.79786-0.78946-2.73908
Nantes
Strasbourg		27.6%
44.3%		28.0%
+310
-104
+310
-110
1
3		-0.70473-0.69485-0.81340
Brest
Reims		22.2%
49.7%		28.1%
+360
-115
+340
-105
2
1		-1.55566-1.51054-1.50283
Saint-Etienne
Angers		29.6%
43.4%		26.9%
+235
+129
+230
+125
2
4		-0.84924-0.86022-0.83361
Marseille
Montpellier		37.9%
32.4%		29.6%
-140
+395
-135
+335
5
0		-0.56219-0.60431-0.96914
Angers
Toulouse		68.7%
12.1%		19.2%
+680
-192
+650
-205
1
1		-1.49455-1.45917-1.65078
Nice
Nantes		30.7%
42.1%		27.2%
+170
+194
+170
+200
1
1		-1.19670-1.14624-1.30243
Strasbourg
Paris Saint-Germain		3.6%
87.5%		8.8%
+930
-350
+850
-365
2
4		-0.28559-0.29113-0.13323
Rennes
Brest		41.1%
30.3%		28.5%
+182
+170
+180
+170
1
1		-1.22156-1.18026-1.25439
Lille
Monaco		50.7%
25.2%		24.1%
+258
+109
+295
-110
0
0		-1.34592-1.34442-1.42225
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.