France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Strasbourg
34.9%
38.0%
27.1%
+105
+257
+100
+250
1
0
-0.74511-0.74421-1.05228
Lens
Lyon
8.8%
75.5%
15.7%
+185
+160
+180
+160
3
0
-1.07649-1.07790-2.43418
Lorient
Rennes
20.4%
54.0%
25.5%
+625
-205
+625
-225
2
1
-2.00813-2.03218-1.58763
Strasbourg
Montpellier
30.2%
40.8%
29.0%
+290
-103
+275
-105
2
2
-1.35178-1.34623-1.23922
Le Havre
Brest
20.7%
54.3%
25.1%
+580
-165
+550
-170
0
1
-0.50281-0.51498-0.61136
Nice
Toulouse
69.8%
11.9%
18.2%
+135
+240
+130
+235
1
2
-1.25075-1.25846-2.12603
Lille
Reims
46.4%
24.7%
28.9%
+150
+193
+150
+185
1
0
-0.94294-0.96451-0.76746
Montpellier
Marseille
25.8%
46.5%
27.6%
+400
-140

1
4
-0.57180-0.76507
Lille
Toulouse
84.4%
4.5%
11.1%
+107
+280

1
3
-1.35876-3.09909
Reims
Le Havre
54.7%
18.2%
27.1%
+125
+247

2
1
-0.83732-0.60402
Monaco
Lens
56.3%
20.8%
22.9%


3
2
-0.57462
Brest
Strasbourg
24.9%
48.7%
26.4%
+190
+172
+180
+170
3
0
-1.08376-1.07852-1.38990
Nantes
Lorient
38.8%
31.5%
29.7%
+160
+185
+170
+180
1
0
-1.00239-1.04214-0.94665
Marseille
Brest
49.4%
24.4%
26.2%
+210
+148
+210
+140
0
1
-0.93227-0.92591-1.40862
Lens
Reims
15.2%
60.2%
24.6%
+252
+122
+235
+125
1
1
-1.26245-1.22806-1.40259
Toulouse
Monaco
5.9%
82.3%
11.8%
+465
-165
+495
-190
2
1
-1.76335-1.83264-2.82751
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.