France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+394
-149
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Angers
Lorient		37.6%
33.5%		28.8%
+350
+102
+350
+100
0
2		-0.73821-0.73303-1.09219
Brest
Lille		12.4%
68.6%		19.0%
+460
-155
+450
-143
1
1		-1.42583-1.39691-1.66326
Strasbourg
Marseille		24.6%
48.6%		26.8%
+290
+100
+305
-115
2
2		-1.38326-1.41190-1.31531
Nantes
Monaco		26.1%
48.8%		25.2%
+580
-216
+650
-240
1
3		-0.41456-0.39475-0.71808
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes		83.7%
5.1%		11.2%
-285
+710
-260
+735
1
3		-2.12678-2.13225-2.97966
Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain		4.9%
84.3%		10.8%
+550
-222
+500
-215
0
5		-0.40686-0.42808-0.17060
Toulouse
Angers		8.7%
75.0%		16.2%
+113
+290
+110
+300
0
1		-1.39679-1.42903-0.28704
Monaco
Nice		42.8%
32.2%		25.0%
+105
+243
+112
+225
0
0		-1.39995-1.36677-1.38482
Lyon
Nantes		54.5%
21.1%		24.4%
-137
+410
-135
+400
1
0		-0.58139-0.59462-0.60748
Lorient
Brest		28.0%
44.1%		27.9%
+235
+138
+230
+135
0
2		-0.90162-0.89465-0.81916
Lille
Metz		59.4%
17.4%		23.2%
-188
+545
-190
+517
0
0		-1.51608-1.51622-1.46063
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		84.6%
4.8%		10.6%
-160
+425
-159
+400
2
1		-0.52064-0.52826-0.16765
Brest
Nice		30.9%
42.5%		26.5%
+222
+130
+215
+130
2
2		-1.27504-1.26908-1.32667
Metz
Angers		30.9%
40.6%		28.5%
+261
+120
+260
+119
0
1		-0.82246-0.82513-0.90106
Lille
Lyon		34.6%
37.6%		27.8%
+225
+128
+235
+128
0
1		-0.85805-0.83894-0.97827
Rennes
Monaco		31.5%
41.8%		26.7%
+265
-105
+265
-106
0
4		-0.70457-0.70528-0.87156
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.