France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 29, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lille
Nice 		60.3%
18.1%		21.5%
+147
+193
+143
+180
1.95
0.97		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+112
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient 		88.7%
3.1%		8.1%
-400
+980
-395
+1000
3.26
0.52		3.78
o3¼-115
u3¼-101
o3½+110
u3½-130
Angers
Marseille 		19.7%
56.4%		23.9%
+1100
-445
+1200
-465
0.90
1.71		2.61
o3+104
u3-115
o3-105
u3-115
Rennes
Toulouse 		73.8%
8.9%		17.3%
+248
+115
+240
+115
2.20
0.61		2.81
o2½-110
u2½-104
o2½-110
u2½-110
Monaco
Nantes 		39.7%
33.2%		27.1%
-148
+390
-149
+385
1.30
1.17		2.47
o2¾-120
u2¾+103
o3+110
u3-130
Games for Oct 28, 2025
Games for Nov 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Brest		34.8%
35.7%		29.6%
+305
-104
+300
-105
0
0		-1.31078-1.30372-1.21882
Marseille
Metz		47.7%
24.7%		27.5%
-180
+515
-185
+500
3
0		-0.47554-0.47331-0.73965
Brest
Angers		30.7%
41.9%		27.4%
+139
+234
+140
+222
2
0		-0.90594-0.92407-1.18234
Lyon
Lille		30.2%
43.0%		26.8%
+212
+135
+206
+135
1
0		-1.17147-1.16136-1.19759
Nantes
Toulouse		69.0%
11.3%		19.6%
+447
-138
+395
-135
2
2		-1.33272-1.34396-1.62791
Monaco
Lorient		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
-108
+284
-115
+310
1
3		-1.38087-1.44558-1.34243
Marseille
Strasbourg		39.8%
31.2%		29.0%
+119
+237
+120
+225
2
1		-0.81606-0.83144-0.92012
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		80.3%
6.7%		13.0%

-130
+322
0
1		-1.49188-2.70680
Metz
Monaco		23.6%
52.0%		24.4%
+795
-315
+760
-312
2
5		-0.30982-0.32018-0.65433
Nice
Brest		34.2%
38.6%		27.1%
+132
+205
+135
+210
1
4		-1.14967-1.15325-0.95099
Rennes
Nantes		37.0%
33.0%		30.0%
+103
+300
+100
+290
2
2		-1.27450-1.28359-1.20554
Angers
Lyon		14.6%
65.6%		19.8%
+680
-217
+650
-220
0
1		-0.39367-0.40862-0.42222
Lyon
Rennes		47.6%
25.9%		26.5%
+181
+155
+195
+144
1
3		-0.97085-0.93321-1.34938
Angers
Metz		32.7%
38.2%		29.0%
+253
+128
+246
+125
1
1		-1.19696-1.20808-1.23653
Toulouse
Lille		3.5%
87.2%		9.3%
+355
-119
+350
-125
1
2		-0.64497-0.63471-0.13683
Nantes
Nice		33.9%
38.3%		27.8%
+480
-175
+468
-170
0
1		-0.50446-0.51103-0.95912
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.