France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 29, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lille
Nice 		60.3%
18.1%		21.5%
+140
+200
+143
+195
1.95
0.97		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+112
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient 		88.7%
3.1%		8.1%
-400
+980
-395
+1000
3.26
0.52		3.78
o3¼-115
u3¼-101
o3½+110
u3½-130
Angers
Marseille 		19.7%
56.4%		23.9%
+1100
-445
+1200
-465
0.90
1.71		2.61
o3+104
u3-115
o3-105
u3-115
Rennes
Toulouse 		73.8%
8.9%		17.3%
+248
+115
+240
+115
2.20
0.61		2.81
o2½-110
u2½-104
o2½-110
u2½-110
Monaco
Nantes 		39.7%
33.2%		27.1%
-148
+390
-149
+385
1.30
1.17		2.47
o2¾-120
u2¾+103
o3+110
u3-130
Games for Oct 28, 2025
Games for Nov 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Marseille		15.7%
61.7%		22.6%
+740
-270
+740
-300
0
4		-0.35015-0.33731-0.48347
Marseille
Lyon		25.4%
48.7%		25.9%
+137
+200
+145
+180
0
1		-1.13113-1.07784-0.71951
Strasbourg
Monaco		30.4%
43.5%		26.1%
+560
-215
+590
-205
2
3		-0.41542-0.40482-0.83133
Rennes
Angers		39.5%
32.0%		28.5%
-117
+340
-115
+365
1
1		-1.34838-1.31834-1.25397
Paris Saint-Germain
Toulouse		92.7%
1.7%		5.6%
-280
+750
-300
+775
6
3		-0.33947-0.32964-0.07535
Lille
Lorient		64.6%
14.4%		21.0%
+121
+235
+120
+235
7
1		-0.82748-0.82650-0.43645
Monaco
Lille		18.8%
59.7%		21.4%
+118
+232
+120
+245
0
1		-1.23330-1.26805-0.51507
Nantes
Strasbourg		27.6%
44.3%		28.0%
+395
-128
+415
-128
0
1		-0.61260-0.60644-0.81340
Brest
Toulouse		66.9%
12.9%		20.1%
+233
+129
+230
+121
0
2		-0.86256-0.84144-2.04500
Rennes
Lorient		45.4%
26.5%		28.1%
+160
+180
+160
+180
0
4		-1.06404-1.07256-1.32772
Metz
Lyon		14.1%
65.4%		20.6%
+630
-240
+624
-235
0
3		-0.38289-0.38669-0.42538
Angers
Paris Saint-Germain		2.9%
89.8%		7.2%
+2850
-1275
+2600
-1350
0
1		-0.11014-0.11547-0.10714
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		86.3%
4.1%		9.7%
-480
+1250
-530
+1300
1
0		-0.22363-0.22314-0.14787
Strasbourg
Metz		38.6%
31.8%		29.6%
+104
+280
+100
+275
1
0		-0.74739-0.74036-0.95106
Lille
Brest		61.0%
17.0%		22.1%
+205
+153
+185
+160
3
3		-1.20035-1.19902-1.51140
Toulouse
Nice		8.6%
76.1%		15.3%
+325
-105
+260
+100
1
0		-1.48197-1.35445-2.45329
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.