France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 13 hr ago

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2026

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Apr 26, 2026

Games for Apr 28, 2026

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/08/2026 04:15 PM	Rennes Nice	40.0% 32.4%	27.6%	+160 +171 +155 +170	4 0	-0.98943-0.98321	-0.91577
03/07/2026 08:05 PM	Marseille Toulouse	78.7% 6.7%	14.6%	+120 +236 +117 +225	1 0	-0.82175-0.81998	-0.23951
03/07/2026 04:00 PM	Angers Nantes	30.4% 41.5%	28.2%	+278 +125 +260 +131	1 0	-1.36387-1.31875	-1.19231
03/06/2026 07:45 PM	Monaco Paris Saint-Germain	3.7% 88.3%	8.0%	+640 -260 +625 -275	3 1	-2.03677-2.02609	-3.28662
03/01/2026 07:45 PM	Lyon Marseille	39.8% 32.3%	27.9%	+290 -105 +280 -104	2 3	-0.70370-0.71607	-1.13097
03/01/2026 04:15 PM	Nantes Lille	14.3% 64.8%	20.9%	+600 -200 +575 -201	0 1	-0.43914-0.44365	-0.43464
03/01/2026 04:15 PM	Brest Metz	31.1% 39.8%	29.1%	+116 +270 +115 +245	1 0	-0.79709-0.81340	-1.16809
02/28/2026 06:00 PM	Angers Monaco	24.7% 51.6%	23.7%	+630 -225 +625 -228	0 2	-0.40260-0.40217	-0.66132
02/28/2026 04:00 PM	Toulouse Rennes	6.5% 78.9%	14.6%	+295 +100 +295 -105	0 1	-0.72741-0.71502	-0.23737
02/22/2026 07:45 PM	Lyon Strasbourg	49.3% 24.9%	25.7%	+215 +126 +212 +130	1 3	-0.85090-0.86322	-1.39006
02/22/2026 04:15 PM	Lille Angers	59.5% 18.1%	22.4%	-128 +392 -127 +375	1 0	-0.61234-0.62379	-0.51936
02/22/2026 04:15 PM	Lorient Nice	26.9% 47.1%	26.0%	+236 +120 +220 +128	3 3	-1.30023-1.27432	-1.34811
02/21/2026 08:05 PM	Metz Paris Saint-Germain	2.9% 89.3%	7.8%	+1850 -745 +1800 -880	0 3	-0.16084-0.14829	-0.11337
02/20/2026 07:45 PM	Marseille Brest	49.4% 24.4%	26.2%	-112 +297 -110 +290	0 2	-1.41469-1.40544	-1.40862
02/15/2026 07:45 PM	Nice Lyon	14.5% 66.4%	19.0%	+320 -114 +310 -109	0 2	-0.66318-0.68820	-0.40931
02/15/2026 04:15 PM	Angers Lorient	37.6% 33.5%	28.8%	+350 +102 +350 +100	0 2	-0.73821-0.73303	-1.09219

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	3	1-1-1 (0.500)	0	-1.03110
Sportsbooks	3	1-1-1 (0.500)	0	-1.07283
DRatings	3	2-0-1 (0.833)	0	-1.02510	0.00601 0.04773

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.