France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 63 days ago

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jul 30, 2025

Games for Aug 1, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/19/2025 07:05 PM	Montpellier Marseille	25.8% 46.5%	27.6%	+1650 -650 +1500 -675	1 5	-0.17742-0.18801	-0.76507
04/19/2025 05:00 PM	Strasbourg Monaco	30.4% 43.5%	26.1%	+515 -200 +500 -200	0 0	-1.63830-1.60107	-1.34469
04/18/2025 06:45 PM	Nantes Rennes	26.5% 45.5%	28.0%	+355 -115 +385 -135	1 2	-0.65034-0.60398	-0.78735
04/13/2025 03:15 PM	Montpellier Angers	39.8% 31.7%	28.5%	+312 -101 +310 -105	0 2	-0.71472-0.71001	-1.14870
04/13/2025 01:00 PM	Brest Saint-Etienne	33.3% 38.6%	28.1%	+105 +257 +100 +250	3 3	-1.36559-1.37279	-1.26965
04/12/2025 07:05 PM	Nice Strasbourg	26.7% 47.7%	25.6%	+152 +187 +155 +175	2 2	-1.28327-1.27247	-1.36234
04/12/2025 05:00 PM	Lille Toulouse	84.4% 4.5%	11.1%	+142 +222 +160 +185	2 1	-0.91023-1.00239	-0.16953
04/12/2025 03:00 PM	Marseille Monaco	38.6% 34.4%	27.0%	+280 -110 +250 -105	0 3	-0.67704-0.71885	-1.06732
04/06/2025 06:45 PM	Toulouse Marseille	5.0% 82.8%	12.3%	+387 -138 +370 -140	2 3	-0.57959-0.58709	-0.18918
04/06/2025 03:15 PM	Strasbourg Reims	28.3% 40.6%	31.0%	+110 +262 +110 +245	1 0	-0.77549-0.79239	-1.26061
04/05/2025 07:05 PM	Lille Lyon	34.6% 37.6%	27.8%	+220 +131 +215 +125	1 2	-0.86398-0.85746	-0.97827
04/05/2025 05:00 PM	Monaco Brest	44.1% 30.2%	25.7%	-124 +350 -125 +335	1 2	-1.52956-1.51763	-1.19779
04/05/2025 03:00 PM	Angers Paris Saint-Germain	2.9% 89.8%	7.2%	+1900 -775 +1800 -825	0 1	-0.15645-0.16299	-0.10714
04/04/2025 06:45 PM	Nantes Nice	33.9% 38.3%	27.8%	+610 -200 +585 -215	2 1	-1.98464-1.97371	-1.08243
03/30/2025 03:15 PM	Rennes Angers	39.5% 32.0%	28.5%	+110 +287 +110 +275	3 0	-0.77024-0.79125	-0.92938
03/30/2025 01:00 PM	Brest Toulouse	66.9% 12.9%	20.1%	+303 +103 +305 -105	4 2	-1.42391-1.45060	-0.40148

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.