France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+394
-149
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Monaco		48.1%
27.4%		24.5%
+245
+110
+240
+110
3
1		-1.27264-1.26355-0.73141
Monaco
Marseille		27.1%
47.7%		25.1%
+256
+106
+250
+110
0
1		-0.75726-0.76336-0.74005
Lorient
Strasbourg		21.4%
52.9%		25.6%
+358
-124
+355
-126
0
0		-1.36944-1.36477-1.36145
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz		87.0%
3.7%		9.3%
-400
+980
-430
+1025
3
2		-0.25798-0.25126-0.13910
Brest
Rennes		23.8%
49.9%		26.3%
+317
-115
+310
-120
1
3		-0.65956-0.65406-0.69559
Nantes
Angers		33.5%
37.7%		28.8%
+283
+114
+270
+115
1
4		-0.79624-0.80406-0.97501
Lyon
Lorient		62.7%
15.8%		21.5%
+107
+280
+110
+280
0
1		-1.36967-1.36379-1.84757
Angers
Nice		32.6%
40.8%		26.6%
+370
-128
+325
-115
1
0		-1.58221-1.49086-1.12083
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		3.8%
86.8%		9.3%
+820
-330
+800
-350
0
5		-0.29897-0.29316-0.14124
Strasbourg
Toulouse		73.2%
9.3%		17.4%
+185
+161
+180
+160
0
1		-0.99398-0.99932-2.37033
Marseille
Lille		23.3%
51.1%		25.6%
+200
+140
+220
+130
0
1		-0.91056-0.86303-0.67231
Monaco
Brest		44.1%
30.2%		25.7%
+103
+255
+100
+248
0
1		-1.30041-1.28674-1.19779
Nantes
Lyon		15.7%
62.9%		21.4%
+730
-248
+650
-240
0
3		-0.37331-0.39475-0.46416
Nice
Lorient		38.2%
33.9%		27.8%
+201
+141
+200
+140
1
3		-0.91437-0.91454-1.08075
Brest
Strasbourg		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+360
-128
+355
-127
2
1		-1.55941-1.55018-1.38990
Toulouse
Marseille		5.0%
82.8%		12.3%
+455
-157
+430
-155
2
2		-1.44906-1.42221-2.09948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.