France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/19/2025 06:45 PM	Angers Lyon	14.6% 65.6%	19.8%	+680 -217 +650 -220	0 1	-0.39367-0.40862	-0.42222
09/14/2025 06:45 PM	Lyon Rennes	47.6% 25.9%	26.5%	+181 +155 +195 +144	1 3	-0.97085-0.93321	-1.34938
09/14/2025 03:15 PM	Angers Metz	32.7% 38.2%	29.0%	+253 +128 +246 +125	1 1	-1.19696-1.20808	-1.23653
09/14/2025 01:01 PM	Toulouse Lille	3.5% 87.2%	9.3%	+355 -119 +350 -125	1 2	-0.64497-0.63471	-0.13683
09/13/2025 03:00 PM	Nantes Nice	33.9% 38.3%	27.8%	+480 -175 +468 -170	0 1	-0.50446-0.51103	-0.95912
09/12/2025 06:45 PM	Lorient Marseille	15.7% 61.7%	22.6%	+740 -270 +740 -300	0 4	-0.35015-0.33731	-0.48347
08/31/2025 06:45 PM	Marseille Lyon	25.4% 48.7%	25.9%	+137 +200 +145 +180	0 1	-1.13113-1.07784	-0.71951
08/31/2025 03:15 PM	Strasbourg Monaco	30.4% 43.5%	26.1%	+560 -215 +590 -205	2 3	-0.41542-0.40482	-0.83133
08/31/2025 01:00 PM	Rennes Angers	39.5% 32.0%	28.5%	-117 +340 -115 +365	1 1	-1.34838-1.31834	-1.25397
08/30/2025 07:05 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Toulouse	92.7% 1.7%	5.6%	-280 +750 -300 +775	6 3	-0.33947-0.32964	-0.07535
08/30/2025 03:00 PM	Lille Lorient	64.6% 14.4%	21.0%	+121 +235 +120 +235	7 1	-0.82748-0.82650	-0.43645
08/24/2025 06:45 PM	Monaco Lille	18.8% 59.7%	21.4%	+118 +232 +120 +245	0 1	-1.23330-1.26805	-0.51507
08/24/2025 03:15 PM	Nantes Strasbourg	27.6% 44.3%	28.0%	+395 -128 +415 -128	0 1	-0.61260-0.60644	-0.81340
08/24/2025 03:15 PM	Brest Toulouse	66.9% 12.9%	20.1%	+233 +129 +230 +121	0 2	-0.86256-0.84144	-2.04500
08/24/2025 01:00 PM	Rennes Lorient	45.4% 26.5%	28.1%	+160 +180 +160 +180	0 4	-1.06404-1.07256	-1.32772
08/23/2025 07:05 PM	Metz Lyon	14.1% 65.4%	20.6%	+630 -240 +624 -235	0 3	-0.38289-0.38669	-0.42538

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.