France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Paris Saint-Germain		2.8%
90.4%		6.8%
+1600
-625
+1400
-650
0
1		-0.18300-0.19283-0.10105
Monaco
Nantes		39.7%
33.2%		27.1%
-132
+370
-140
+375
5
3		-0.59640-0.58193-0.92392
Rennes
Toulouse		73.8%
8.9%		17.3%
+292
-102
+284
+100
2
2		-1.32415-1.31841-1.75377
Angers
Marseille		19.7%
56.4%		23.9%
+1200
-427
+1150
-430
2
2		-1.94428-1.94191-1.43255
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient		88.7%
3.1%		8.1%
-352
+870
-400
+950
1
1		-1.90690-1.93919-2.50764
Lille
Nice		60.3%
18.1%		21.5%
-112
+294
-110
+275
0
2		-1.40646-1.37074-1.70722
Strasbourg
Lyon		18.8%
58.1%		23.0%
+290
-105
+300
-105
1
2		-0.70370-0.69750-0.54230
Lorient
Angers		26.7%
46.3%		26.9%
+186
+182
+180
+180
0
2		-1.07046-1.06088-0.76945
Nice
Rennes		25.5%
49.0%		25.5%
+268
+107
+240
+110
2
1		-1.33724-1.27075-1.36826
Metz
Lille		12.8%
67.1%		20.1%
+1150
-415
+1125
-380
1
6		-0.25058-0.25613-0.39925
Toulouse
Monaco		5.9%
82.3%		11.8%
+226
+122
+280
+115
0
1		-0.83188-0.77150-0.19539
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		87.9%
3.6%		8.5%
-297
+805
-310
+815
3
0		-0.32519-0.32414-0.12886
Lille
Nantes		56.7%
19.3%		24.0%
-154
+467
-140
+400
2
0		-0.53558-0.58780-0.56789
Metz
Toulouse		66.2%
12.7%		21.0%
+540
-185
+525
-190
0
4		-0.46679-0.46949-2.06357
Brest
Lorient		35.6%
34.8%		29.6%
+169
+179
+170
+175
3
3		-1.22227-1.22601-1.21702
Monaco
Angers		42.3%
31.9%		25.8%
-159
+465
-150
+405
1
1		-1.44333-1.43322-1.35530
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.