France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+401
-150
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Nice		58.0%
19.9%		22.0%
+220
+130
+216
+130
2
3		-0.86698-0.86152-1.61440
Strasbourg
Paris Saint-Germain		3.6%
87.5%		8.8%
+715
-255
+680
-260
3
3		-1.67360-1.67948-2.42690
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille		73.8%
10.1%		16.1%
+107
+260
+110
+250
1
1		-1.32901-1.28884-1.82728
Angers
Strasbourg		26.4%
47.1%		26.5%
+410
-136
+400
-130
0
5		-0.58607-0.60194-0.75373
Nice
Monaco		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+287
-105
+279
+100
2
2		-1.36230-1.34186-1.47124
Toulouse
Lyon		3.7%
86.9%		9.4%
+295
+102
+292
+105
2
1		-1.40789-1.39433-3.29954
Nantes
Brest		34.8%
35.7%		29.6%
+305
-104
+300
-105
0
0		-1.31078-1.30372-1.21882
Marseille
Metz		47.7%
24.7%		27.5%
-180
+515
-185
+500
3
0		-0.47554-0.47331-0.73965
Brest
Angers		30.7%
41.9%		27.4%
+139
+234
+140
+222
2
0		-0.90594-0.92407-1.18234
Lyon
Lille		30.2%
43.0%		26.8%
+212
+135
+206
+135
1
0		-1.17147-1.16136-1.19759
Nantes
Toulouse		69.0%
11.3%		19.6%
+447
-138
+395
-135
2
2		-1.33272-1.34396-1.62791
Monaco
Lorient		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
-108
+284
-115
+310
1
3		-1.38087-1.44558-1.34243
Marseille
Strasbourg		39.8%
31.2%		29.0%
+119
+237
+120
+225
2
1		-0.81606-0.83144-0.92012
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		80.3%
6.7%		13.0%

-130
+322
0
1		-1.49188-2.70680
Metz
Monaco		23.6%
52.0%		24.4%
+795
-315
+760
-312
2
5		-0.30982-0.32018-0.65433
Nice
Brest		34.2%
38.6%		27.1%
+132
+205
+135
+210
1
4		-1.14967-1.15325-0.95099
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.