France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Le Havre
59.1%
18.7%
22.2%
-130
+392
-135
+345
0
0
-1.42329-1.42474-1.50584
Brest
Monaco
23.2%
53.4%
23.4%
+345
-124
+345
-135
0
2
-0.61042-0.59649-0.62798
Reims
Nantes
37.2%
30.7%
32.1%
+160
+192
+155
+185
1
0
-0.97649-0.98556-0.98980
Lille
Marseille
42.2%
30.0%
27.8%
+330
+120
+300
-110
0
0
-1.27443-1.33124-1.27880
Lens
Lorient
26.1%
46.1%
27.8%
-115
+375
-135
+375
0
0
-1.37413-1.37215-1.28154
Strasbourg
Rennes
30.5%
40.5%
29.0%
+625
-162
+625
-225
1
1
-1.49933-1.55519-1.23774
Monaco
Lille
18.8%
59.7%
21.4%
+198
+150
+175
+140
0
2
-0.91091-0.92480-0.51507
Nantes
Lens
46.1%
26.2%
27.7%
+479
-162
+450
-170
0
4
-0.50407-0.51371-1.33930
Lorient
Reims
19.1%
53.4%
27.4%
+411
-135
+375
-145
0
1
-0.56254-0.57263-0.62736
Reims
Toulouse
72.2%
8.6%
19.2%
+177
+170
+160
+170
1
1
-1.26972-1.26107-1.65271
Montpellier
Nantes
37.3%
32.8%
29.9%
+135
+213
+135
+190
0
2
-1.16357-1.11544-1.11514
Rennes
Lorient
45.4%
26.5%
28.1%
-111
+335
-115
+290
1
2
-1.48908-1.41075-1.32772
Marseille
Nice
48.3%
26.1%
25.6%
+231
+137
+215
+135
0
1
-0.88520-0.90387-1.34224
Lens
Le Havre
33.9%
36.0%
30.1%
-115
+376
-115
+340
0
0
-1.30748-1.28906-1.20051
Lille
Lens
70.7%
11.0%
18.2%
+207
+145
+205
+135
1
1
-1.26181-1.25956-1.70375
Lorient
Lyon
11.5%
70.1%
18.4%
+370
-125
+375
-145
3
3
-1.40446-1.43734-1.69489
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.