France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 20 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/27/2023 07:00 PM	Reims Lyon	20.8% 52.8%	26.5%	+341 -145 +320 -150	0 3	-0.54695-0.56261	-0.63881
05/27/2023 07:00 PM	Nice Montpellier	25.2% 49.3%	25.5%	+197 +143 +185 +140	3 2	-1.11124-1.09919	-1.37805
05/27/2023 07:00 PM	Nantes Lille	14.3% 64.8%	20.9%	+692 -228 +600 -230	1 2	-0.39087-0.41228	-0.43464
05/27/2023 07:00 PM	Troyes Angers	16.9% 60.0%	23.1%	+354 -134 +330 -135	1 2	-0.58263-0.60398	-0.51059
05/21/2023 03:05 PM	Lens Lorient	26.1% 46.1%	27.8%	-144 +431 -150 +380	3 1	-0.55243-0.55893	-1.34232
05/21/2023 01:00 PM	Strasbourg Troyes	57.8% 17.7%	24.4%	-230 +636 -205 +585	1 1	-1.64979-1.59475	-1.40915
05/21/2023 01:00 PM	Angers Reims	23.6% 48.2%	28.2%	+677 -267 +615 -225	2 2	-1.77892-1.56576	-1.26606
05/21/2023 01:00 PM	Toulouse Nice	8.6% 76.1%	15.3%	+264 +101 +265 -110	0 0	-1.39308-1.42341	-1.87915
05/20/2023 07:00 PM	Marseille Lille	23.3% 51.1%	25.6%	+161 +177 +155 +165	1 2	-1.04358-1.02449	-0.67231
05/20/2023 03:00 PM	Montpellier Nantes	37.3% 32.8%	29.9%	+255 +118 +240 +110	3 0	-1.28880-1.27447	-0.98669
05/19/2023 07:00 PM	Monaco Lyon	20.7% 57.4%	21.9%	+178 +140 +170 +135	1 3	-0.89789-0.90231	-0.55546
05/14/2023 06:45 PM	Angers Marseille	19.7% 56.4%	23.9%	+1729 -590 +1600 -700	1 3	-0.17531-0.18372	-0.57277
05/14/2023 03:05 PM	Lille Monaco	50.7% 25.2%	24.1%	+143 +194 +135 +190	0 0	-1.33598-1.32795	-1.42225
05/14/2023 01:00 PM	Nantes Toulouse	69.0% 11.3%	19.6%	+223 +125 +205 +120	0 0	-1.33632-1.35969	-1.62791
05/14/2023 01:00 PM	Troyes Rennes	12.5% 66.2%	21.2%	+1373 -515 +1175 -550	0 4	-0.20361-0.21850	-0.41187
05/14/2023 01:00 PM	Lorient Montpellier	20.2% 54.3%	25.5%	+320 -106 +310 -120	1 1	-1.32904-1.38617	-1.36814

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.