France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Strasbourg
49.3%
24.9%
25.7%
+173
+170
+170
+170
2
1
-1.03131-1.03176-0.70648
Marseille
Lyon
25.4%
48.7%
25.9%
+181
+165
+165
+165
2
1
-1.05194-1.02223-1.37078
Rennes
Montpellier
31.2%
39.1%
29.7%
+141
+229
+125
+225
0
1
-1.20381-1.22806-0.93785
Troyes
Nantes
15.8%
60.5%
23.7%
+600
-194
+530
-200
2
2
-1.54595-1.53294-1.44151
Toulouse
Lorient
11.3%
69.0%
19.7%
+184
+159
+185
+140
1
0
-1.06352-1.09919-2.17993
Strasbourg
Reims
28.3%
40.6%
31.0%
+238
+127
+265
+100
2
0
-1.23974-1.34519-1.26061
Monaco
Lens
56.3%
20.8%
22.9%
+251
+115
+240
+110
0
3
-0.78555-0.79264-1.57036
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers
87.6%
3.7%
8.7%

-550
+1400
2
1
-0.21567-0.13243
Troyes
Marseille
9.4%
72.4%
18.2%
+1368
-450
+1150
-500
1
3
-0.22726-0.23231-0.32338
Lorient
Monaco
19.7%
57.7%
22.6%
+885
-310
+800
-310
1
3
-0.29961-0.31987-0.55061
Nice
Brest
34.2%
38.6%
27.1%
+203
+165
+190
+150
0
1
-0.98953-0.96748-0.95099
Montpellier
Lille
18.3%
58.3%
23.5%
+535
-183
+480
-190
1
2
-0.45271-0.47383-0.53998
Lens
Paris Saint-Germain
2.1%
91.7%
6.1%

+340
-135
1
3
-0.60475-0.08648
Reims
Rennes
31.7%
35.8%
32.5%
+237
+125
+225
+120
0
3
-0.83748-0.83924-1.02680
Lyon
Toulouse
83.8%
4.9%
11.3%
+111
+250
+105
+230
2
1
-0.76522-0.76718-0.17637
Marseille
Lorient
53.4%
21.0%
25.6%
-175
+503
-185
+475
0
0
-1.52823-1.53067-1.36352
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.