France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Rennes
30.5%
40.5%
29.0%
+604
-175
+530
-180
0
3
-0.46837-0.49213-0.90365
Nice
Lens
45.7%
28.2%
26.1%
+457
-125
+440
-135
1
0
-1.73721-1.73472-0.78309
Brest
Lyon
13.6%
67.0%
19.3%
+510
-185
+500
-190
0
0
-1.55604-1.54721-1.64434
Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier
83.6%
5.1%
11.3%

-330
+750
3
1
-0.31516-0.17902
Lorient
Reims
19.1%
53.4%
27.4%
+375
-121
+350
-125
2
4
-0.61869-0.63824-0.62736
Marseille
Nantes
44.9%
27.1%
28.0%
-129
+420
-140
+390
2
0
-0.58917-0.58834-0.80162
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain
4.2%
84.5%
11.2%
+900
-400
+1000
-420
1
1
-1.92422-1.92292-2.18774
Angers
Brest
33.8%
38.2%
28.1%
+270
+123
+255
+110
0
4
-0.82082-0.79264-0.96299
Toulouse
Strasbourg
6.8%
78.5%
14.7%
+215
+148
+195
+145
2
1
-1.15379-1.12646-2.68370
Lille
Nice
60.3%
18.1%
21.5%
+150
+220
+135
+215
0
1
-1.17857-1.19683-1.70722
Monaco
Marseille
27.1%
47.7%
25.1%
+275
+103
+275
+100
1
1
-1.35720-1.31420-1.38071
Lens
Troyes
37.2%
32.3%
30.5%
-168
+514
-170
+500
1
1
-1.47709-1.42205-1.18744
Rennes
Lorient
45.4%
26.5%
28.1%
+105
+322
-105
+295
1
2
-1.46024-1.42354-1.32772
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes
83.7%
5.1%
11.2%
-153
+430
-170
+430
0
1
-1.69876-1.71730-2.97966
Brest
Toulouse
66.9%
12.9%
20.1%
+330
-112
+325
-120
1
1
-1.36649-1.35810-1.60336
Nice
Reims
23.8%
49.1%
27.0%
+213
+153
+195
+150
0
0
-1.20728-1.21335-1.30856
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.