France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+378
+102

1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-104
u2¼-108

Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-250
+615

3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-113
u3¼-102

Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Toulouse		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+367
-115
+315
-115
2
2		-1.32742-1.34335-1.47766
Brest
Angers		30.7%
41.9%		27.4%
+215
+154
+205
+135
3
1		-1.15528-1.16575-1.18234
Reims
Strasbourg		32.9%
34.8%		32.3%
+420
-126
+400
-135
1
1		-1.32426-1.33184-1.13131
Nantes
Marseille		20.9%
53.5%		25.5%
+450
-147
+450
-165
1
2		-0.53960-0.52101-0.62459
Lens
Monaco		15.3%
64.8%		19.9%
+340
-117
+330
-125
4
1		-1.49669-1.50860-1.87712
Troyes
Lyon		6.8%
78.9%		14.3%
+841
-312
+840
-340
1
4		-0.29835-0.30806-0.23685
Marseille
Brest		49.4%
24.4%		26.2%
+103
+298
-105
+275
1
1		-1.35170-1.34623-1.34109
Strasbourg
Nice		38.7%
33.7%		27.5%
+255
+129
+240
+125
1
1		-1.24657-1.21295-1.29084
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain		3.9%
86.8%		9.4%
+2233
-900
+2250
-1100
2
5		-0.13700-0.13592-0.14193
Rennes
Monaco		31.5%
41.8%		26.7%
+232
+128
+230
+120
1
1		-1.30641-1.27418-1.32193
Reims
Marseille		26.2%
43.4%		30.4%
+515
-153
+510
-175
1
4		-0.52015-0.50106-0.83586
Lorient
Rennes		20.4%
54.0%		25.5%
+573
-195
+575
-220
1
0		-1.92607-1.95680-1.58763
Nantes
Angers		33.5%
37.7%		28.8%
+152
+223
+140
+210
0
0		-1.18407-1.21362-1.24545
Brest
Lens		42.7%
29.3%		28.0%
+480
-158
+430
-160
2
3		-0.51356-0.52680-1.22751
Troyes
Montpellier		12.4%
66.5%		21.1%
+285
+120
+270
+105
2
3		-0.80562-0.76873-0.40827
Nice
Toulouse		69.8%
11.9%		18.2%
+208
+185
+185
+165
1
1		-1.21127-1.21396-1.70210
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.