France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Lorient
38.8%
31.5%
29.7%
+215
+153
+220
+135
2
3
-0.94843-0.90372-1.15445
Montpellier
Angers
39.8%
31.7%
28.5%
+196
+151
+180
+140
1
2
-0.93420-0.92576-1.14870
Lille
Marseille
42.2%
30.0%
27.8%
+250
+122
+240
+115
1
2
-0.81135-0.81340-1.20531
Brest
Paris Saint-Germain
2.8%
90.0%
7.2%
+2816
-1150
+2500
-1400
0
1
-0.10938-0.11800-0.10493
Troyes
Lens
25.8%
45.7%
28.5%
+525
-185
+520
-210
0
1
-0.44943-0.44183-0.78410
Lyon
Lorient
62.7%
15.8%
21.5%
-124
+340
-135
+340
1
3
-1.50490-1.53206-1.84757
Monaco
Nice
42.8%
32.2%
25.0%
+154
+197
+150
+185
1
0
-0.94814-0.96451-0.84959
Rennes
Troyes
58.7%
16.9%
24.4%
-112
+321
-115
+300
1
1
-1.38681-1.37200-1.41239
Lens
Reims
15.2%
60.2%
24.6%
+139
+220
+125
+215
1
1
-1.27336-1.28884-1.40259
Strasbourg
Brest
39.9%
31.6%
28.5%
+195
+162
+180
+150
1
1
-1.22581-1.27379-1.25639
Lille
Montpellier
49.6%
24.1%
26.2%
+102
+283
+100
+270
3
1
-0.72359-0.74381-0.70041
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes
86.3%
4.1%
9.7%
-400
+1072
-425
+1000
3
0
-0.24994-0.26196-0.14787
Angers
Lyon
14.6%
65.6%
19.8%
+821
-308
+800
-335
0
5
-0.30900-0.31069-0.42222
Nice
Lille
13.2%
68.3%
18.5%
+285
+113
+290
+100
2
1
-1.36289-1.41026-2.02480
Brest
Rennes
23.8%
49.9%
26.3%
+565
-173
+550
-200
1
3
-0.46494-0.45463-0.69559
Lorient
Lens
37.5%
32.7%
29.7%
+412
-130
+420
-140
2
5
-0.58996-0.58390-1.11706
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.