France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Monaco
15.3%
64.8%
19.9%
+340
-117
+330
-125
4
1
-1.49669-1.50860-1.87712
Troyes
Lyon
6.8%
78.9%
14.3%
+841
-312
+840
-340
1
4
-0.29835-0.30806-0.23685
Marseille
Brest
49.4%
24.4%
26.2%
+103
+298
-105
+275
1
1
-1.35170-1.34623-1.34109
Strasbourg
Nice
38.7%
33.7%
27.5%
+255
+129
+240
+125
1
1
-1.24657-1.21295-1.29084
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain
3.9%
86.8%
9.4%
+2233
-900
+2250
-1100
2
5
-0.13700-0.13592-0.14193
Rennes
Monaco
31.5%
41.8%
26.7%
+232
+128
+230
+120
1
1
-1.30641-1.27418-1.32193
Reims
Marseille
26.2%
43.4%
30.4%
+515
-153
+510
-175
1
4
-0.52015-0.50106-0.83586
Lorient
Rennes
20.4%
54.0%
25.5%
+573
-195
+575
-220
1
0
-1.92607-1.95680-1.58763
Nantes
Angers
33.5%
37.7%
28.8%
+152
+223
+140
+210
0
0
-1.18407-1.21362-1.24545
Brest
Lens
42.7%
29.3%
28.0%
+480
-158
+430
-160
2
3
-0.51356-0.52680-1.22751
Troyes
Montpellier
12.4%
66.5%
21.1%
+285
+120
+270
+105
2
3
-0.80562-0.76873-0.40827
Nice
Toulouse
69.8%
11.9%
18.2%
+208
+185
+185
+165
1
1
-1.21127-1.21396-1.70210
Monaco
Strasbourg
34.9%
38.0%
27.1%
+225
+161
+205
+150
2
1
-1.17623-1.15471-1.05228
Nice
Reims
23.8%
49.1%
27.0%
-104
+305
-115
+300
3
2
-0.69207-0.67598-1.43397
Metz
Paris Saint-Germain
2.9%
89.3%
7.8%
+1771
-740
+1400
-750
0
5
-0.15207-0.17302-0.11337
Saint-Etienne
Nantes
27.8%
44.8%
27.3%
+186
+151
+190
+140
1
1
-1.31651-1.28844-1.29751
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.