France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 21 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Strasbourg Marseille	24.6% 48.6%	26.8%	+273 +124 +255 +125	0 4	-0.82387-0.82271	-0.72251
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Troyes Lorient	20.9% 52.4%	26.7%	+229 +125 +225 +120	1 1	-1.31082-1.28913	-1.32144
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Rennes Lille	18.1% 58.5%	23.4%	-100 +277 -110 +280	2 2	-1.38434-1.38390	-1.45235
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Monaco Lens	56.3% 20.8%	22.9%	+115 +234 +110 +220	2 2	-1.38553-1.38557	-1.47447
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Bordeaux Brest	40.6% 31.5%	27.9%	+371 -150 +425 -170	4 2	-1.57624-1.68837	-0.90172
05/21/2022 07:00 PM	Montpellier Angers	39.8% 31.7%	28.5%	+257 +110 +250 +105	0 2	-0.76464-0.76070	-1.14870
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Lens Troyes	37.2% 32.3%	30.5%	+105 +290 +100 +260	3 1	-0.73222-0.74360	-0.98824
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Reims Saint-Etienne	42.8% 27.4%	29.8%	+295 +104 +290 -105	2 1	-1.39388-1.41005	-0.84835
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Marseille Rennes	38.2% 32.1%	29.6%	+305 -104 +335 -125	0 2	-0.69341-0.63858	-1.13485
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Lille Nice	60.3% 18.1%	21.5%	+395 -135 +350 -145	3 1	-1.60839-1.55495	-0.50541
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Montpellier	83.6% 5.1%	11.3%	-315 +799 -350 +750	4 0	-0.29592-0.30286	-0.17902
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Brest Monaco	23.2% 53.4%	23.4%	+1205 -445 +1025 -425	2 4	-0.23614-0.26113	-0.62798
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Angers Metz	32.7% 38.2%	29.0%	+219 +135 +220 +125	0 1	-0.87108-0.84884	-0.96158
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Nantes Lyon	15.7% 62.9%	21.4%	+526 -195 +515 -225	2 3	-0.42622-0.41746	-0.46416
05/14/2022 07:00 PM	Lorient Bordeaux	21.2% 53.8%	25.0%	+205 +148 +190 +140	0 0	-1.26532-1.28844	-1.38741
05/11/2022 07:00 PM	Rennes Nantes	37.0% 33.0%	30.0%	-175 +500 -190 +455	1 2	-1.80302-1.76521	-1.10736

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.