France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 21 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/29/2022 07:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Strasbourg	84.6% 4.8%	10.6%	+106 +280 -110 +280	3 3	-1.35635-1.38390	-2.24205
04/24/2022 06:45 PM	Marseille Reims	35.3% 32.4%	32.3%	-103 +340 -105 +310	1 0	-0.69864-0.71803	-1.04245
04/24/2022 03:05 PM	Strasbourg Lille	17.2% 60.2%	22.5%	+182 +184 +180 +170	0 1	-1.06381-1.04214	-0.50667
04/24/2022 01:00 PM	Brest Metz	31.1% 39.8%	29.1%	+185 +165 +155 +185	1 0	-1.07990-0.98556	-1.16809
04/24/2022 01:00 PM	Troyes Nice	16.8% 61.1%	22.1%	+650 -200 +510 -175	0 1	-0.43188-0.50407	-0.49251
04/24/2022 01:00 PM	Bordeaux Nantes	36.5% 34.3%	29.2%	+257 +115 +280 -110	3 5	-0.78821-0.69888	-1.06930
04/24/2022 11:00 AM	Lorient Rennes	20.4% 54.0%	25.5%	+800 -275 +765 -290	0 5	-0.34448-0.34825	-0.61600
04/23/2022 07:00 PM	Lens Paris Saint-Germain	2.1% 91.7%	6.1%	+1007 -394 +1000 -425	1 1	-1.98239-1.95701	-2.79279
04/23/2022 05:00 PM	Monaco Saint-Etienne	45.7% 29.1%	25.2%	-134 +375 -145 +375	4 1	-0.58363-0.57263	-0.78285
04/23/2022 03:00 PM	Montpellier Lyon	20.0% 56.1%	23.9%	+682 -251 +725 -300	2 5	-0.35919-0.33626	-0.57748
04/20/2022 07:00 PM	Rennes Strasbourg	32.7% 37.7%	29.6%	+189 +163 +180 +150	1 2	-0.98631-0.96627	-0.97578
04/20/2022 07:00 PM	Nantes Marseille	20.9% 53.5%	25.5%	+510 -175 +490 -175	2 3	-0.48695-0.49774	-0.62459
04/20/2022 07:00 PM	Montpellier Lens	53.0% 21.3%	25.7%	+723 -200 +600 -170	0 2	-0.41580-0.46238	-1.54806
04/20/2022 07:00 PM	Lyon Brest	59.0% 18.6%	22.4%	-130 +355 -130 +325	1 2	-1.52836-1.49620	-1.68147
04/20/2022 07:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Angers	87.6% 3.7%	8.7%	-198 +575 -220 +550	3 0	-0.42535-0.42528	-0.13243
04/20/2022 05:00 PM	Lille Reims	46.4% 24.7%	28.9%	+175 +202 +165 +225	1 2	-1.11841-1.19686	-1.39812

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.