France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 21 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/20/2022 05:00 PM	Nice Monaco	24.8% 52.2%	23.0%	+383 -120 +375 -130	0 1	-0.62166-0.61906	-0.65003
04/20/2022 05:00 PM	Metz Lorient	35.7% 33.8%	30.5%	+600 -169 +580 -190	0 1	-0.47971-0.47377	-1.08506
04/20/2022 05:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Bordeaux	23.7% 51.1%	25.1%	+210 +141 +200 +140	2 2	-1.28392-1.25632	-1.38059
04/17/2022 06:45 PM	Marseille Paris Saint-Germain	4.9% 84.3%	10.8%	+634 -236 +575 -250	1 2	-0.37680-0.38632	-0.17060
04/17/2022 03:05 PM	Bordeaux Lyon	19.1% 58.3%	22.6%	+740 -250 +675 -265	1 6	-0.35152-0.37004	-0.53916
04/17/2022 01:00 PM	Strasbourg Troyes	57.8% 17.7%	24.4%	+110 +322 +105 +285	1 1	-1.20996-1.24327	-1.40915
04/17/2022 01:00 PM	Angers Nantes	30.4% 41.5%	28.2%	+319 +105 +310 +100	1 1	-1.24414-1.22895	-1.26737
04/17/2022 01:00 PM	Reims Montpellier	31.4% 36.1%	32.5%	+232 +140 +235 +130	0 0	-1.21885-1.19690	-1.12507
04/17/2022 11:00 AM	Lorient Nice	26.9% 47.1%	26.0%	+485 -154 +400 -140	1 2	-0.51842-0.58780	-0.75222
04/16/2022 07:00 PM	Lens Lille	8.0% 76.7%	15.3%	+347 -106 +290 -105	2 1	-1.51951-1.41005	-2.52548
04/16/2022 03:00 PM	Brest Saint-Etienne	33.3% 38.6%	28.1%	+262 +125 +260 +110	1 2	-0.83170-0.79308	-0.95143
04/15/2022 07:00 PM	Monaco Rennes	33.6% 39.2%	27.2%	+265 +111 +240 +105	3 2	-1.30236-1.27465	-1.09195
04/10/2022 07:00 PM	Montpellier Marseille	25.8% 46.5%	27.6%	+621 -205 +580 -220	0 2	-0.41502-0.42534	-0.76507
04/10/2022 05:00 PM	Lyon Strasbourg	49.3% 24.9%	25.7%	+199 +156 +195 +145	1 1	-1.23860-1.24289	-1.35693
04/10/2022 03:05 PM	Nice Lens	45.7% 28.2%	26.1%	+218 +151 +195 +150	0 3	-0.94063-0.96192	-1.26716
04/10/2022 01:00 PM	Troyes Monaco	11.7% 70.2%	18.1%	+850 -269 +775 -280	1 2	-0.34159-0.35718	-0.35404

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.