France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 21 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/10/2022 01:00 PM	Lille Angers	59.5% 18.1%	22.4%	+115 +291 +115 +295	1 1	-1.21325-1.17144	-1.49669
04/10/2022 01:00 PM	Nantes Brest	34.8% 35.7%	29.6%	+180 +180 +175 +170	1 1	-1.20471-1.19759	-1.21882
04/10/2022 11:00 AM	Metz Bordeaux	25.1% 48.0%	26.9%	+346 -103 +335 -110	1 3	-0.69565-0.69752	-0.73309
04/09/2022 03:00 PM	Rennes Reims	29.2% 38.9%	31.9%	-119 +400 -130 +400	3 2	-0.63013-0.62021	-1.23117
04/08/2022 07:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Lorient	34.6% 36.2%	29.1%	+297 +118 +280 +115	2 6	-0.80026-0.81507	-1.01481
04/03/2022 06:45 PM	Lorient Paris Saint-Germain	2.5% 90.6%	6.9%	+1575 -560 +1400 -575	1 5	-0.19400-0.21089	-0.09923
04/03/2022 03:05 PM	Angers Lyon	14.6% 65.6%	19.8%	+797 -253 +700 -255	2 3	-0.35706-0.37917	-0.42222
04/03/2022 01:00 PM	Reims Troyes	57.7% 15.9%	26.4%	+224 +165 +215 +150	0 1	-0.98940-0.96582	-1.83841
04/03/2022 01:00 PM	Brest Montpellier	23.6% 50.2%	26.2%	+276 +113 +255 +110	2 1	-1.34140-1.31763	-1.44545
04/03/2022 01:00 PM	Monaco Metz	42.9% 30.5%	26.6%	-197 +700 -200 +600	2 1	-0.43064-0.45751	-0.84695
04/03/2022 11:00 AM	Lens Strasbourg	16.9% 59.9%	23.1%	+282 +115 +240 +120	0 1	-0.78711-0.83884	-0.51211
04/02/2022 05:00 PM	Bordeaux Lille	17.4% 60.5%	22.1%	+680 -196 +725 -235	0 0	-1.51663-1.59919	-1.50955
04/02/2022 03:00 PM	Rennes Nice	40.0% 32.4%	27.6%	+165 +190 +150 +190	1 1	-1.22312-1.24067	-1.28895
03/20/2022 07:45 PM	Nice Marseille	19.8% 57.2%	22.9%	+335 -107 +315 -110	1 2	-0.68798-0.69587	-0.55785
03/20/2022 04:05 PM	Lyon Reims	44.3% 26.7%	29.0%	-113 +330 -120 +335	0 0	-1.36090-1.33268	-1.23867
03/20/2022 02:00 PM	Metz Rennes	24.1% 48.3%	27.5%	+1240 -356 +1100 -360	1 6	-0.27349-0.29336	-0.72677

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.