France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Lorient
44.2%
27.7%
28.1%
+125
+260
+120
+240
0
0
-1.21029-1.24434-1.27015
Montpellier
Bordeaux
32.9%
38.1%
29.0%
+190
+155
+185
+140
2
0
-1.08714-1.09919-1.11054
Brest
Angers
30.7%
41.9%
27.4%
+245
+145
+245
+130
0
1
-0.91649-0.88409-0.87017
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco
85.2%
5.0%
9.7%
-102
+285
-110
+285
0
3
-1.37555-1.39707-2.99274
Lille
Nantes
56.7%
19.3%
24.0%
+200
+170
+195
+175
1
0
-1.12458-1.12258-0.56789
Troyes
Saint-Etienne
18.8%
56.8%
24.4%
+375
-110
+360
-120
1
1
-1.26227-1.30015-1.40940
Marseille
Brest
49.4%
24.4%
26.2%
+102
+314
+100
+300
4
1
-0.72278-0.74051-0.70548
Rennes
Lyon
19.8%
56.4%
23.8%
+274
+107
+260
+105
4
2
-1.33960-1.33094-1.62141
Monaco
Strasbourg
34.9%
38.0%
27.1%
+197
+176
+180
+170
0
1
-1.02862-1.03724-0.96874
Lens
Metz
22.2%
51.4%
26.4%
-130
+420
-135
+380
0
0
-1.35743-1.36004-1.33222
Reims
Angers
39.8%
29.8%
30.4%
+262
+148
+250
+135
1
0
-1.30704-1.30177-0.92176
Bordeaux
Paris Saint-Germain
3.6%
87.8%
8.5%
+2200
-729
+1700
-760
0
3
-0.14829-0.17277-0.12958
Nantes
Troyes
52.4%
20.9%
26.6%
+158
+216
+150
+200
0
1
-1.16700-1.14816-1.56308
Nice
Montpellier
25.2%
49.3%
25.5%
+125
+240
+115
+240
0
0
-1.29916-1.28627-1.36743
Saint-Etienne
Lille
11.8%
70.0%
18.2%
+421
-135

0
0
-1.38354-1.70205
Monaco
Marseille
27.1%
47.7%
25.1%
+187
+162
+190
+155
1
0
-1.07825-1.10842-1.30398
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.