France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/25/2022 08:00 PM	Rennes Montpellier	31.2% 39.1%	29.7%	-126 +415 -125 +345	4 2	-0.59232-0.64061	-1.16533
02/20/2022 04:05 PM	Monaco Bordeaux	34.8% 38.6%	26.6%	-151 +465 -165 +445	1 1	-1.44248-1.45981	-1.32249
02/20/2022 02:00 PM	Strasbourg Saint-Etienne	41.4% 30.6%	27.9%	+145 +225 +135 +210	2 2	-1.22533-1.24382	-1.27572
02/20/2022 02:00 PM	Troyes Rennes	12.5% 66.2%	21.2%	+1150 -280 +980 -315	1 4	-0.31267-0.32605	-0.41187
02/20/2022 02:00 PM	Brest Reims	22.2% 49.7%	28.1%	+244 +145 +225 +135	1 1	-1.16142-1.19683	-1.27050
02/20/2022 02:00 PM	Montpellier Lorient	45.7% 26.3%	28.0%	+219 +150 +220 +130	1 0	-1.18097-1.21224	-0.78336
02/20/2022 12:00 PM	Angers Nice	32.6% 40.8%	26.6%	+430 -120 +450 -145	0 1	-0.62579-0.57467	-0.89681
02/19/2022 08:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Nantes	86.3% 4.1%	9.7%	-256 +965 -235 +800	1 3	-2.35020-2.20030	-3.20226
02/19/2022 04:00 PM	Lyon Lens	69.2% 12.1%	18.7%	+132 +221 +130 +205	1 1	-1.30107-1.28953	-1.67804
02/18/2022 08:00 PM	Metz Lille	12.8% 67.1%	20.1%	+645 -175 +665 -215	0 0	-1.41981-1.47596	-1.60435
02/13/2022 07:45 PM	Marseille Metz	44.6% 28.1%	27.3%	-143 +456 -145 +425	2 1	-0.55149-0.57235	-0.80831
02/13/2022 04:05 PM	Bordeaux Lens	48.3% 26.9%	24.8%	+483 -167 +475 -190	2 3	-0.48828-0.46828	-1.31416
02/13/2022 02:00 PM	Reims Nantes	36.3% 31.6%	32.1%	+274 +125 +255 +125	0 1	-0.83785-0.86353	-1.15315
02/13/2022 02:00 PM	Troyes Brest	23.5% 53.0%	23.6%	+325 -101 +310 -105	1 5	-0.70514-0.71803	-0.63544
02/13/2022 02:00 PM	Strasbourg Angers	37.5% 34.0%	28.4%	+145 +225 +130 +220	1 0	-0.91569-0.88201	-0.98059
02/13/2022 12:00 PM	Lorient Monaco	25.6% 52.5%	21.9%	+806 -264 +670 -260	0 0	-1.69478-1.66829	-1.51722

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.