France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/12/2022 08:00 PM	Nice Lyon	21.9% 60.3%	17.7%	+365 -115 +340 -125	0 2	-0.63203-0.63609	-0.50519
02/12/2022 04:00 PM	Lille Montpellier	46.0% 28.0%	26.0%	+146 +211 +130 +210	1 0	-0.91792-0.88312	-0.77544
02/11/2022 08:00 PM	Rennes Paris Saint-Germain	8.5% 85.2%	6.4%	+519 -178 +500 -200	0 1	-0.46258-0.45495	-0.16061
02/06/2022 07:45 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Lille	66.3% 17.2%	16.5%	-150 +470 -170 +450	5 1	-0.52997-0.50569	-0.41125
02/06/2022 04:00 PM	Brest Rennes	28.0% 46.7%	25.3%	+600 -201 +580 -220	0 2	-0.43144-0.42534	-0.76104
02/06/2022 02:00 PM	Metz Troyes	46.1% 26.9%	27.0%	+260 +127 +265 +120	0 0	-1.21076-1.18123	-1.30833
02/06/2022 02:00 PM	Nantes Strasbourg	30.7% 42.7%	26.6%	+330 -105 +360 -125	0 1	-0.68041-0.63726	-0.85067
02/06/2022 02:00 PM	Bordeaux Reims	31.4% 40.2%	28.4%	+325 -107 +290 +100	0 5	-0.68943-0.74244	-0.91190
02/06/2022 12:00 PM	Lens Lorient	29.6% 44.0%	26.5%	+130 +240 +120 +245	0 2	-1.24400-1.28471	-0.82155
02/05/2022 08:00 PM	Lyon Monaco	45.6% 31.3%	23.1%	+269 +110 +255 +110	0 2	-0.76288-0.78460	-1.16021
02/05/2022 04:00 PM	Montpellier Saint-Etienne	41.9% 32.0%	26.2%	+220 +146 +200 +145	1 3	-0.92196-0.94410	-1.14047
02/04/2022 08:00 PM	Angers Marseille	25.1% 51.6%	23.3%	+675 -200 +630 -200	2 5	-0.43871-0.45479	-0.66202
02/01/2022 08:00 PM	Marseille Lyon	29.4% 45.9%	24.8%	+155 +198 +160 +190	1 2	-1.12673-1.11541	-0.77966
01/26/2022 06:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Angers	32.5% 42.3%	25.2%	+270 +120 +255 +120	1 0	-1.33313-1.30545	-1.12347
01/23/2022 07:45 PM	Reims Paris Saint-Germain	8.2% 77.6%	14.2%	+1400 -400 +1450 -500	0 4	-0.23785-0.23274	-0.25314
01/23/2022 04:05 PM	Monaco Montpellier	35.3% 39.7%	25.0%	-110 +321 -115 +335	2 3	-1.46859-1.51941	-0.92400

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.