France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/23/2022 02:00 PM	Lorient Nantes	28.7% 44.9%	26.4%	+276 +125 +270 +120	2 4	-0.83358-0.83979	-0.80127
01/23/2022 02:00 PM	Strasbourg Bordeaux	33.9% 39.9%	26.3%	-125 +360 -125 +335	3 4	-1.54877-1.51118	-0.91947
01/23/2022 02:00 PM	Troyes Angers	22.6% 54.3%	23.1%	+312 +110 +315 +105	1 2	-0.76819-0.76791	-0.61000
01/23/2022 12:00 PM	Nice Metz	35.1% 39.1%	25.8%	-130 +430 -155 +450	2 0	-0.59442-0.54606	-1.04674
01/22/2022 08:00 PM	Marseille Lens	54.8% 22.4%	22.8%	+190 +150 +190 +145	2 0	-1.09880-1.11073	-0.60152
01/22/2022 04:00 PM	Lille Brest	55.1% 23.1%	21.8%	+130 +232 +125 +225	0 2	-1.22550-1.22806	-1.46616
01/21/2022 08:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Lyon	19.9% 61.3%	18.8%	+792 -235 +725 -280	0 1	-0.34864-0.35277	-0.48947
01/19/2022 06:00 PM	Troyes Montpellier	18.2% 59.7%	22.0%	+395 -135 +380 -135	1 0	-1.62862-1.61355	-1.70199
01/19/2022 06:00 PM	Lorient Lille	16.9% 64.3%	18.8%	+600 -185 +550 -195	1 3	-0.45904-0.46291	-0.44167
01/16/2022 07:45 PM	Lille Marseille	41.3% 32.6%	26.1%	+245 +125 +230 +125	1 1	-1.25180-1.24316	-1.34224
01/16/2022 04:05 PM	Lyon Troyes	66.2% 15.6%	18.2%	-125 +360 -125 +350	1 0	-0.61995-0.63824	-0.41235
01/16/2022 02:00 PM	Montpellier Strasbourg	34.8% 38.0%	27.2%	+295 +100 +285 -110	1 3	-0.72741-0.69904	-0.96748
01/16/2022 02:00 PM	Metz Reims	26.1% 45.2%	28.7%	+450 -125 +485 -150	1 0	-1.72676-1.81775	-1.34209
01/16/2022 02:00 PM	Angers Lorient	38.2% 35.3%	26.6%	+280 +120 +245 +125	0 0	-1.22503-1.19789	-1.32580
01/16/2022 12:00 PM	Bordeaux Rennes	33.3% 40.2%	26.5%	+650 -230 +645 -240	0 6	-0.39282-0.39771	-0.91222
01/15/2022 08:00 PM	Brest Paris Saint-Germain	5.9% 84.9%	9.2%	+1200 -375 +1000 -415	0 2	-0.25643-0.26523	-0.16340

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.