France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/15/2022 04:00 PM	Lens Saint-Etienne	28.1% 47.1%	24.8%	-115 +320 -110 +295	2 1	-0.66122-0.69631	-1.26819
01/14/2022 08:00 PM	Nantes Nice	35.6% 38.8%	25.6%	+405 -135 +415 -150	1 2	-0.58668-0.56333	-0.94750
01/09/2022 07:45 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Lyon	68.5% 16.2%	15.3%	+125 +215 +125 +235	1 1	-1.34396-1.32148	-1.88000
01/09/2022 04:05 PM	Monaco Nantes	39.8% 35.2%	25.0%	+100 +315 +100 +300	0 0	-1.25822-1.25632	-1.38605
01/09/2022 02:00 PM	Strasbourg Metz	38.8% 33.8%	27.4%	-135 +395 -140 +370	2 0	-0.58352-0.59018	-0.94688
01/09/2022 12:00 PM	Nice Brest	35.9% 39.0%	25.0%	+165 +180 +135 +195	3 0	-1.00027-0.90342	-1.02357
01/08/2022 08:00 PM	Rennes Lens	48.7% 26.1%	25.2%	+180 +160 +170 +160	0 1	-0.98827-1.00343	-1.34293
01/07/2022 08:00 PM	Marseille Bordeaux	39.8% 33.9%	26.3%	-150 +415 -175 +450	1 0	-0.54535-0.50149	-0.92221
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Brest Troyes	46.3% 27.7%	26.0%	+210 +150 +205 +150	1 1	-1.22136-1.18061	-1.34750
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Nantes Saint-Etienne	37.2% 36.2%	26.6%	+215 +145 +210 +145	1 0	-1.18016-1.17847	-0.98803
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Lens Nice	26.8% 50.2%	23.0%	+290 +100 +275 +100	1 2	-0.71597-0.74036	-0.68890
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Angers Montpellier	29.0% 45.8%	25.3%	+300 +100 +285 +100	1 4	-0.72824-0.74156	-0.78134
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Rennes Monaco	33.9% 41.2%	24.9%	+230 +125 +230 +125	1 2	-0.84357-0.85170	-0.88746
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Reims Marseille	29.2% 42.0%	28.8%	+545 -165 +540 -170	1 1	-1.43234-1.42155	-1.24379
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Metz Lyon	20.5% 58.8%	20.8%	+840 -295 +800 -300	1 1	-1.73161-1.71630	-1.57156
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Lorient	82.9% 6.6%	10.5%	-200 +600 -210 +575	1 1	-1.57799-1.55074	-2.25332

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.