France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/22/2021 08:00 PM	Lille Bordeaux	48.1% 27.9%	24.1%	+100 +280 +100 +315	3 2	-0.72602-0.71172	-0.73212
12/12/2021 07:45 PM	Monaco Paris Saint-Germain	8.6% 82.5%	8.9%	+600 -215 +550 -230	0 2	-0.40509-0.41059	-0.19185
12/12/2021 04:00 PM	Marseille Strasbourg	39.7% 33.4%	26.8%	+225 +133 +220 +130	2 0	-1.21342-1.21224	-0.92314
12/12/2021 02:00 PM	Bordeaux Troyes	53.3% 23.0%	23.6%	+250 +120 +250 +110	2 1	-1.27450-1.30324	-0.62852
12/12/2021 02:00 PM	Nice Rennes	29.5% 46.1%	24.4%	+330 -110 +340 -120	2 1	-1.48775-1.53090	-1.22000
12/12/2021 02:00 PM	Lorient Metz	30.3% 42.5%	27.2%	+235 +140 +225 +140	1 4	-0.91252-0.92637	-0.85557
12/12/2021 12:00 PM	Lyon Lille	32.9% 42.0%	25.1%	+265 +115 +260 +115	0 0	-1.29762-1.28096	-1.38170
12/11/2021 08:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Reims	25.7% 47.7%	26.6%	+260 +125 +255 +125	0 2	-0.84697-0.85849	-0.73967
12/11/2021 04:00 PM	Montpellier Brest	40.8% 32.6%	26.5%	+250 +120 +245 +115	4 0	-1.28244-1.28630	-0.89632
12/10/2021 08:00 PM	Lens Nantes	25.1% 50.3%	24.6%	+175 +175 +175 +170	2 3	-1.04597-1.04344	-0.68806
12/05/2021 07:45 PM	Lyon Bordeaux	46.4% 29.5%	24.1%	-145 +375 -145 +350	2 2	-1.48391-1.49513	-1.42097
12/05/2021 04:00 PM	Strasbourg Nice	39.1% 35.6%	25.4%	+345 -110 +350 -115	3 0	-1.51814-1.55405	-0.93915
12/05/2021 02:00 PM	Angers Reims	27.4% 45.5%	27.2%	+275 +130 +265 +130	2 1	-1.35592-1.34692	-1.29525
12/05/2021 02:00 PM	Metz Monaco	28.3% 48.2%	23.5%	+775 -250 +775 -285	0 4	-0.36465-0.35014	-0.73021
12/05/2021 02:00 PM	Nantes Lorient	38.9% 33.6%	27.5%	+190 +175 +175 +185	1 0	-1.09527-1.06372	-0.94369
12/05/2021 12:00 PM	Rennes Saint-Etienne	41.6% 32.1%	26.2%	-102 +295 -120 +325	5 0	-0.70917-0.65589	-0.87599

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.