France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/28/2021 02:00 PM	Brest Bordeaux	28.9% 46.5%	24.6%	+240 +125 +195 +140	2 1	-1.24695-1.13038	-1.24102
11/28/2021 12:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Saint-Etienne	82.8% 7.4%	9.9%	-360 +950 -310 +750	3 1	-0.28227-0.32760	-0.18920
11/27/2021 08:00 PM	Metz Nice	33.6% 40.8%	25.6%	+850 -270 +750 -265	1 0	-2.28190-2.19078	-1.09061
11/27/2021 04:00 PM	Nantes Lille	20.6% 58.2%	21.2%	+450 -145 +425 -140	1 1	-1.39058-1.33124	-1.55202
11/26/2021 08:00 PM	Angers Lens	43.2% 31.1%	25.7%	+425 -135 +400 -130	2 2	-1.35286-1.32302	-1.35922
11/21/2021 02:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Troyes	45.5% 28.5%	26.0%	+215 +135 +215 +130	1 0	-1.18384-1.19690	-0.78750
11/21/2021 02:00 PM	Reims Strasbourg	34.6% 36.0%	29.5%	+355 +100 +310 +100	1 1	-1.23760-1.22895	-1.22183
11/21/2021 02:00 PM	Bordeaux Metz	39.3% 33.8%	26.8%	+225 +135 +235 +125	3 3	-1.22953-1.22806	-1.31591
11/21/2021 02:00 PM	Lorient Angers	30.2% 44.1%	25.7%	+400 -120 +390 -130	0 1	-0.62538-0.62027	-0.81792
11/21/2021 12:00 PM	Lens Brest	27.3% 47.9%	24.7%	+110 +250 +125 +220	0 4	-1.29927-1.21295	-0.73530
11/20/2021 08:00 PM	Montpellier Rennes	33.7% 38.8%	27.5%	+650 -225 +575 -215	0 2	-0.40113-0.42889	-0.94783
11/20/2021 04:00 PM	Nantes Paris Saint-Germain	6.6% 83.0%	10.4%	+1550 -550 +1300 -525	1 3	-0.20223-0.22253	-0.18632
11/19/2021 08:00 PM	Lille Monaco	47.3% 29.7%	23.0%	+305 +110 +290 +100	2 2	-1.24084-1.27307	-1.47111
11/07/2021 07:45 PM	Lyon Rennes	45.1% 29.7%	25.2%	+175 +156 +170 +150	1 4	-0.97154-0.96703	-1.21325
11/07/2021 04:00 PM	Montpellier Nice	40.1% 34.3%	25.5%	+550 -200 +550 -200	1 0	-1.90670-1.90019	-0.91282
11/07/2021 02:00 PM	Strasbourg Nantes	36.9% 35.8%	27.2%	+200 +163 +195 +155	2 2	-1.19753-1.18375	-1.30012

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.