France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+600
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Metz
Angers		33.2%
40.2%		26.6%
+340
-105
+350
-110
2
3		-0.70209-0.69453-0.91110
Bordeaux
Monaco		33.6%
42.3%		24.1%
+780
-260
+775
-275
0
3		-0.35143-0.35861-0.86022
Troyes
Nantes		21.3%
54.8%		23.9%
+395
-125
+400
-140
0
2		-0.61173-0.58780-0.60091
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes		76.8%
10.3%		12.9%
-215
+571
-200
+500
0
2		-1.93468-1.83684-2.27206
Brest
Nice		33.6%
41.7%		24.7%
+545
-185
+475
-185
1
2		-0.45817-0.48122-0.87484
Strasbourg
Montpellier		32.7%
40.3%		27.0%
+190
+161
+200
+150
1
1		-1.23509-1.20795-1.30941
Reims
Lens		48.4%
24.4%		27.2%
+335
-103
+330
-105
0
2		-0.70120-0.70719-1.41018
Lens
Marseille		18.5%
61.1%		20.4%
+430
-133
+355
-130
3
2		-1.68346-1.56552-1.68826
Angers
Troyes		47.9%
26.8%		25.3%
+170
+185
+175
+175
1
1		-1.22007-1.18006-1.37571
Metz
Brest		34.2%
38.8%		27.0%
+275
+105
+290
-105
2
1		-1.35880-1.41005-1.07286
Nantes
Reims		27.9%
43.3%		28.8%
+195
+175
+185
+180
1
3		-1.04268-1.08114-0.83720
Rennes
Bordeaux		34.6%
38.7%		26.7%
+103
+295
+115
+245
1
1		-1.27336-1.27168-1.32171
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain		8.1%
80.5%		11.4%
+1983
-745
+1750
-850
0
2		-0.15126-0.16130-0.21720
Lorient
Lyon		18.1%
62.9%		18.9%
+875
-325
+800
-330
1
1		-1.82511-1.80036-1.66384
Lille
Strasbourg		48.0%
27.5%		24.5%
+145
+225
+140
+220
2
1		-0.92311-0.92591-0.73343
Nice
Saint-Etienne		36.9%
38.2%		24.9%
+118
+250
+115
+240
3
0		-0.80511-0.81340-0.99737
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.