France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/07/2021 02:00 PM	Monaco Reims	33.6% 39.7%	26.6%	-108 +340 -105 +315	0 0	-1.27407-1.25931	-1.32257
11/07/2021 02:00 PM	Brest Lorient	36.8% 36.3%	26.9%	+195 +155 +200 +145	2 1	-1.11541-1.14662	-0.99883
11/07/2021 12:00 PM	Metz Marseille	24.1% 51.5%	24.4%	+700 -230 +670 -245	0 0	-1.61495-1.60744	-1.40981
11/06/2021 08:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Bordeaux	78.2% 10.1%	11.7%	-360 +1035 -390 +900	3 2	-0.27055-0.27911	-0.24609
11/06/2021 04:00 PM	Angers Lille	20.0% 60.5%	19.5%	+550 -165 +495 -165	1 1	-1.41243-1.39731	-1.63614
11/05/2021 08:00 PM	Troyes Lens	29.2% 43.6%	27.2%	+485 -160 +450 -170	0 4	-0.51529-0.51099	-0.82926
10/29/2021 07:00 PM	Lille Paris Saint-Germain	13.8% 72.0%	14.2%	+725 -255 +765 -280	1 2	-0.36219-0.35462	-0.32898
10/27/2021 07:00 PM	Marseille Nice	45.6% 30.1%	24.3%	+160 +195 +160 +175	1 1	-1.22659-1.24396	-1.41445
10/24/2021 06:45 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Marseille	72.9% 12.8%	14.2%	-180 +465 -190 +460	0 0	-1.58807-1.58450	-1.94890
10/24/2021 03:00 PM	Montpellier Monaco	34.1% 41.0%	24.9%	+580 -215 +540 -210	1 3	-0.41916-0.43926	-0.89262
10/24/2021 01:00 PM	Troyes Reims	16.9% 58.3%	24.8%	+250 +145 +240 +135	2 1	-1.27963-1.27540	-1.77543
10/24/2021 01:00 PM	Metz Lens	41.6% 31.3%	27.1%	+650 -220 +675 -230	1 4	-0.41220-0.41291	-1.16305
10/24/2021 01:00 PM	Bordeaux Lorient	43.2% 30.8%	26.0%	+275 +115 +270 +110	1 1	-1.23032-1.24223	-1.34619
10/24/2021 01:00 PM	Strasbourg Rennes	32.8% 40.1%	27.0%	+460 -140 +455 -150	0 1	-0.55715-0.56005	-0.91347
10/24/2021 11:00 AM	Lyon Nice	52.8% 25.9%	21.4%	+140 +195 +165 +170	2 3	-1.11471-1.04276	-1.35147
10/23/2021 07:00 PM	Brest Lille	19.1% 61.6%	19.2%	+625 -200 +575 -205	1 1	-1.52179-1.51909	-1.64766

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.