France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+600
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lille
Lens		63.5%
17.6%		18.9%
+191
+160
+190
+155
0
1		-0.98631-0.98438-1.73761
Metz
Strasbourg		28.9%
44.7%		26.4%
+355
-110
+350
-115
0
3		-0.67160-0.67566-0.80415
Paris Saint-Germain
Reims		73.8%
10.5%		15.7%
-500
+1350
-575
+1400
2
0		-0.21565-0.21089-0.30434
Montpellier
Lille		23.9%
53.0%		23.2%
+465
-150
+500
-175
1
2		-0.53150-0.50367-0.63510
Rennes
Angers		39.5%
34.1%		26.5%
+170
+190
+165
+190
0
2		-1.08919-1.11355-1.07661
Lorient
Lens		38.1%
34.6%		27.4%
+500
-160
+485
-155
2
2		-1.43658-1.39558-1.29605
Brest
Strasbourg		28.9%
45.9%		25.2%
+300
-102
+285
+100
1
3		-0.71929-0.74156-0.77916
Monaco
Troyes		56.5%
22.5%		20.9%
-130
+400
-125
+350
2
1		-0.59853-0.63824-0.57065
Saint-Etienne
Marseille		23.5%
54.0%		22.5%
+450
-145
+415
-150
1
3		-0.55099-0.56017-0.61620
Bordeaux
Nice		39.6%
35.5%		24.9%
+355
-120
+390
-130
0
4		-0.62500-0.60934-1.03479
Lyon
Nantes		50.1%
26.2%		23.7%
-135
+375
-135
+365
1
0		-0.58571-0.60565-0.69181
Nantes
Rennes		29.8%
43.5%		26.7%
+485
-150
+450
-135
0
1		-0.54302-0.57700-0.83220
Lorient
Montpellier		25.1%
49.9%		25.0%
+240
+126
+230
+125
1
3		-0.84987-0.86022-0.69467
Troyes
Strasbourg		19.1%
58.9%		22.0%
+290
+105
+280
+105
1
1		-1.27186-1.25727-1.51186
Reims
Metz		39.4%
30.7%		29.9%
+261
+133
+250
+130
1
1		-1.14863-1.16235-1.20751
Angers
Bordeaux		30.0%
45.3%		24.7%
+165
+191
+160
+185
1
1		-1.20698-1.19902-1.39906
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.