France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

Upcoming Games for December 16, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Dec 15, 2025

Games for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/14/2025 07:45 PM	Monaco Marseille	27.1% 47.7%	25.1%	+256 +106 +250 +110	0 1	-0.75726-0.76336	-0.74005
12/14/2025 04:15 PM	Lorient Strasbourg	21.4% 52.9%	25.6%	+358 -124 +355 -126	0 0	-1.36944-1.36477	-1.36145
12/13/2025 06:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Metz	87.0% 3.7%	9.3%	-400 +980 -430 +1025	3 2	-0.25798-0.25126	-0.13910
12/13/2025 04:00 PM	Brest Rennes	23.8% 49.9%	26.3%	+317 -115 +310 -120	1 3	-0.65956-0.65406	-0.69559
12/12/2025 07:45 PM	Nantes Angers	33.5% 37.7%	28.8%	+283 +114 +270 +115	1 4	-0.79624-0.80406	-0.97501
12/07/2025 07:45 PM	Lyon Lorient	62.7% 15.8%	21.5%	+107 +280 +110 +280	0 1	-1.36967-1.36379	-1.84757
12/07/2025 02:00 PM	Angers Nice	32.6% 40.8%	26.6%	+370 -128 +325 -115	1 0	-1.58221-1.49086	-1.12083
12/06/2025 08:05 PM	Rennes Paris Saint-Germain	3.8% 86.8%	9.3%	+820 -330 +800 -350	0 5	-0.29897-0.29316	-0.14124
12/06/2025 06:00 PM	Strasbourg Toulouse	73.2% 9.3%	17.4%	+185 +161 +180 +160	0 1	-0.99398-0.99932	-2.37033
12/05/2025 08:00 PM	Marseille Lille	23.3% 51.1%	25.6%	+200 +140 +220 +130	0 1	-0.91056-0.86303	-0.67231
12/05/2025 06:00 PM	Monaco Brest	44.1% 30.2%	25.7%	+103 +255 +100 +248	0 1	-1.30041-1.28674	-1.19779
11/30/2025 07:45 PM	Nantes Lyon	15.7% 62.9%	21.4%	+730 -248 +650 -240	0 3	-0.37331-0.39475	-0.46416
11/30/2025 04:15 PM	Nice Lorient	38.2% 33.9%	27.8%	+201 +141 +200 +140	1 3	-0.91437-0.91454	-1.08075
11/30/2025 02:00 PM	Brest Strasbourg	24.9% 48.7%	26.4%	+360 -128 +355 -127	2 1	-1.55941-1.55018	-1.38990
11/29/2025 08:05 PM	Toulouse Marseille	5.0% 82.8%	12.3%	+455 -157 +430 -155	2 2	-1.44906-1.42221	-2.09948
11/29/2025 04:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Monaco	85.2% 5.0%	9.7%	-147 +365 -150 +360	0 1	-1.57118-1.56830	-2.99274

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.