France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-137
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+615
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nimes
Nice		28.4%
48.1%		23.4%
+360
-115
+355
-115
1
2		-0.34105-0.34422-0.46434
Angers
Metz		33.6%
37.4%		29.0%
+217
+161
+205
+160
1
0		-0.79505-0.77616-0.74913
Rennes
Lyon		25.2%
51.6%		23.3%
+400
-139
+440
-145
0
1		-0.29557-0.27224-0.39757
Dijon
Brest		35.0%
35.9%		29.1%
+380
-127
+375
-135
1
3		-0.31653-0.31223-0.68072
Lyon
Marseille		38.7%
33.4%		27.9%
-161
+425
-175
+450
1
1		-0.85664-0.87770-0.69578
Strasbourg
Lille		23.3%
55.0%		21.7%
+500
-145
+510
-145
1
1		-0.88174-0.88640-0.78268
Montpellier
Reims		30.7%
37.5%		31.8%
+180
+170
+180
+180
0
0		-0.69331-0.69315-0.69809
Nantes
Nimes		41.6%
31.1%		27.4%
+147
+212
+140
+210
1
1		-0.69996-0.70132-0.70370
Saint-Etienne
Lorient		34.9%
36.0%		29.1%
+159
+196
+155
+200
1
2		-0.76213-0.77773-0.67727
Lens
Angers		26.4%
49.4%		24.2%
+155
+210
+170
+190
2
2		-0.69791-0.69378-0.74150
Brest
Monaco		28.1%
48.9%		23.0%
+525
-208
+615
-250
0
2		-0.21262-0.17882-0.45367
Paris Saint-Germain
Dijon		84.7%
9.0%		6.3%
-400
+1200
-400
+1000
4
0		-0.09181-0.10763-0.10068
Metz
Bordeaux		28.5%
44.8%		26.7%
+221
+148
+215
+150
2
1		-0.83046-0.81536-0.94387
Nice
Rennes		29.2%
45.5%		25.3%
+390
-119
+385
-125
2
1		-1.29817-1.30682-0.94020

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.