Mainz 05 at Dortmund

Updated

Mainz 05

9.6%14.4%76.0%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.73
1Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
T 0-0 at FC Koln+165
T 1-1 at Hoffenheim+285
W 0-2 vs RB Leipzig+385
L 3-1 vs Bayern Munich+825
T 2-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+215
Dortmund
Money Line
T 1-1 at Augsburg+112
L 3-2 vs RB Leipzig+165
W 2-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-220
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+168
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+460+482+400+477-+477+482-
Dortmund-200-180-175-183--183-175-
Draw+400+363+370+365-+365+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+435-+455-+385+460+460-
Dortmund-200--188--230-195-188-
Draw+390-+355-+350+375+375-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mainz 05: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +420 to +400
Dortmund ML moved from -205 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +575 to +460
Dortmund ML moved from -215 to -240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3½+120o3¼-108o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3¼-108-
Underu3¼-108u3½-135u3¼-112u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3½-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+110o3½+120-o3½+105o3½+120o3½+120-
Underu3+115u3½-130u3½-140-u3½-135u3½-140u3½-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.66%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 419.18%
Exactly 68.40%
Exactly 81.97%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.65%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 513.91%
Exactly 74.35%
Exactly 90.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 040.98%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 06.50%
Exactly 117.76%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 415.12%
Exactly 58.27%
Exactly 63.77%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.66%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 46.18%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.32%
Exactly 314.72%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 066.16%
Exactly 127.33%
Exactly 25.64%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 028.20%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals2.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.67%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals55.34%
Wins by 3+ goals34.39%
Wins by 4+ goals18.25%
Wins by 5+ goals8.34%
Wins by 6+ goals3.31%
Wins by 7+ goals1.14%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal6.72%
Wins by 2 goals2.23%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal20.59%
Wins by 2 goals20.95%
Wins by 3 goals16.14%
Wins by 4 goals9.91%
Wins by 5 goals5.03%
Wins by 6 goals2.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.34%2.66%
1.587.69%12.31%
2.570.18%29.82%
3.549.03%50.97%
4.529.86%70.14%
5.515.95%84.05%
6.57.54%92.46%
7.53.19%96.81%
8.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.02%40.98%
1.522.46%77.54%
2.56.16%93.84%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.50%6.50%
1.575.74%24.26%
2.551.47%48.53%
3.529.34%70.66%
4.514.22%85.78%
5.55.95%94.05%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.34%18.66%
1.550.02%49.98%
2.523.72%76.28%
3.59.01%90.99%
4.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score012345
0
2.66%
7.28%
9.95%
9.07%
6.20%
3.39%
1
2.37%
6.49%
8.88%
8.09%
5.53%
3.02%
2
1.06%
2.90%
3.96%
3.61%
2.47%
1.35%
3
0.32%
0.86%
1.18%
1.07%
0.73%
0.40%
Mainz 05
1-02.37%
2-01.06%
2-12.90%
3-00.32%
3-10.86%
3-21.18%
Draw
0-02.66%
1-16.49%
2-23.96%
3-31.07%
4-40.16%
Dortmund
0-17.28%
0-29.95%
1-28.88%
0-39.07%
1-38.09%
2-33.61%
0-46.20%
1-45.53%
2-42.47%
3-40.73%
0-53.39%
1-53.02%
2-51.35%
3-50.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
18.66%
23.62%
14.95%
6.31%
2.00%
0.51%
0.11%
1
7.71%
9.76%
6.17%
2.61%
0.82%
0.21%
0.04%
2
1.59%
2.01%
1.28%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.28%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-07.71%
2-01.59%
2-12.01%
3-00.22%
3-10.28%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-018.66%
1-19.76%
2-21.28%
Dortmund
0-123.62%
0-214.95%
1-26.17%
0-36.31%
1-32.61%
2-30.54%
0-42.00%
1-40.82%
2-40.17%
0-50.51%
1-50.21%
0-60.11%
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