VfB Stuttgart at Mainz 05

Updated

VfB Stuttgart

47.2%24.1%28.7%
VfB Stuttgart WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.25
3Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Freiburg+122
L 1-5 at RB Leipzig+465
T 1-1 vs Hoffenheim-200
W 4-1 at Mainz 05+155
T 1-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+155
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 0-4 at Werder Bremen+155
T 1-1 vs Eint Frankfurt+165
L 1-4 at Union Berlin+280
T 2-2 at Dortmund+1165
L 4-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VfB Stuttgart+170+171+165+168-+168+171-
Mainz 05+150+161+160+163-+163+163-
Draw+260+265+250+255-+255+265-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VfB Stuttgart+170-+163-+145+170+170-
Mainz 05+150-+155-+145+150+155-
Draw+255-+257-+225+255+257-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VfB Stuttgart: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

VfB Stuttgart ML moved from +177 to +171
Mainz 05 ML moved from +165 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VfB Stuttgart: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On VfB Stuttgart ML
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-141o2¾-102o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2¾+100-
Underu2¾-115u2½+126u2¾-118u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2½+126-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-140o2½-130-o2½-130o2½-135o2½-130-
Underu2½+120u2½+120u2½+110-u2½+100u2½+115u2½+120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-134 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.43%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 416.29%
Exactly 64.61%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.82%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.49%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 018.90%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 314.57%
Exactly 46.07%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.96%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 310.61%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 046.23%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 213.76%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals24.86%
Wins by 3+ goals10.54%
Wins by 4+ goals3.67%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals11.92%
Wins by 3+ goals3.90%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals14.32%
Wins by 3 goals6.87%
Wins by 4 goals2.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal16.71%
Wins by 2 goals8.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.57%5.43%
1.578.74%21.26%
2.555.70%44.30%
3.533.32%66.68%
4.517.03%82.97%
5.57.54%92.46%
6.52.93%97.07%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.10%18.90%
1.549.62%50.38%
2.523.39%76.61%
3.58.82%91.18%
4.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.42%64.58%
2.513.08%86.92%
3.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.04%25.96%
1.539.03%60.97%
2.515.42%84.58%
3.54.81%95.19%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.43%
6.77%
4.22%
1.75%
0.55%
0.14%
1
9.05%
11.28%
7.03%
2.92%
0.91%
0.23%
2
7.54%
9.40%
5.86%
2.43%
0.76%
0.19%
3
4.19%
5.22%
3.25%
1.35%
0.42%
0.11%
4
1.74%
2.17%
1.36%
0.56%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.58%
0.72%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
VfB Stuttgart
1-09.05%
2-07.54%
2-19.40%
3-04.19%
3-15.22%
3-23.25%
4-01.74%
4-12.17%
4-21.36%
4-30.56%
5-00.58%
5-10.72%
5-20.45%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.43%
1-111.28%
2-25.86%
3-31.35%
4-40.18%
Mainz 05
0-16.77%
0-24.22%
1-27.03%
0-31.75%
1-32.92%
2-32.43%
0-40.55%
1-40.91%
2-40.76%
3-40.42%
0-50.14%
1-50.23%
2-50.19%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
25.96%
14.98%
4.32%
0.83%
0.12%
1
20.03%
11.56%
3.34%
0.64%
0.09%
2
7.72%
4.46%
1.29%
0.25%
0.04%
3
1.99%
1.15%
0.33%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.38%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
VfB Stuttgart
1-020.03%
2-07.72%
2-14.46%
3-01.99%
3-11.15%
3-20.33%
4-00.38%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-025.96%
1-111.56%
2-21.29%
Mainz 05
0-114.98%
0-24.32%
1-23.34%
0-30.83%
1-30.64%
2-30.25%
0-40.12%