Hoffenheim at Mainz 05

Updated

Hoffenheim

50.6%23.2%26.2%
Hoffenheim WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.79Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 4

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Augsburg+120
L 1-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+1200
L 3-0 vs VfB Stuttgart+320
L 1-3 at Eint Frankfurt+250
W 1-2 vs Werder Bremen-105
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 0-0 at RB Leipzig+725
L 1-8 at Bayern Munich+1025
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-115
L 1-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+1000
W 0-1 vs Augsburg-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+240-+270+290-+290+290-
Mainz 05+100--115-112--112-112-
Draw+285-+310+298-+298+310-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+245-+285-+270+275+285-
Mainz 05+100--116--145-115-115-
Draw+285-+291-+280+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 60.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +305 to +295
Mainz 05 ML moved from -102 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 60.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +290 to +275
Mainz 05 ML moved from -130 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3-115o3-118-o3-118o3-115-
Underu3-112-u3-105u3-102-u3-102u3-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-120-o3-125o3-125o3-120-
Underu3-115u3+100u3+100-u3-105u3+105u3+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%
 
No41.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 416.85%
Exactly 65.08%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.86%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.13%
Exactly 72.18%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 016.77%
Exactly 129.95%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 315.91%
Exactly 47.10%
Exactly 52.54%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 029.45%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.84%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 311.18%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 043.75%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.95%
Exactly 34.12%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 056.78%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals27.88%
Wins by 3+ goals12.47%
Wins by 4+ goals4.60%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals10.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal22.66%
Wins by 2 goals15.41%
Wins by 3 goals7.87%
Wins by 4 goals3.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.20%19.80%
2.557.86%42.14%
3.535.45%64.55%
4.518.61%81.39%
5.58.47%91.53%
6.53.39%96.61%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.23%16.77%
1.553.28%46.72%
2.526.54%73.46%
3.510.64%89.36%
4.53.54%96.46%
5.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.55%29.45%
1.534.55%65.45%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.16%24.84%
1.540.56%59.44%
2.516.47%83.53%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
4.94%
6.04%
3.69%
1.50%
0.46%
0.11%
1
8.82%
10.78%
6.59%
2.69%
0.82%
0.20%
2
7.87%
9.62%
5.88%
2.40%
0.73%
0.18%
3
4.68%
5.73%
3.50%
1.43%
0.44%
0.11%
4
2.09%
2.56%
1.56%
0.64%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.75%
0.91%
0.56%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
Hoffenheim
1-08.82%
2-07.87%
2-19.62%
3-04.68%
3-15.73%
3-23.50%
4-02.09%
4-12.56%
4-21.56%
4-30.64%
5-00.75%
5-10.91%
5-20.56%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-04.94%
1-110.78%
2-25.88%
3-31.43%
4-40.19%
Mainz 05
0-16.04%
0-23.69%
1-26.59%
0-31.50%
1-32.69%
2-32.40%
0-40.46%
1-40.82%
2-40.73%
3-40.44%
0-50.11%
1-50.20%
2-50.18%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
24.84%
14.06%
3.98%
0.75%
0.11%
1
20.53%
11.62%
3.29%
0.62%
0.09%
2
8.49%
4.80%
1.36%
0.26%
0.04%
3
2.34%
1.32%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.48%
0.27%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-020.53%
2-08.49%
2-14.80%
3-02.34%
3-11.32%
3-20.37%
4-00.48%
4-10.27%
Draw
0-024.84%
1-111.62%
2-21.36%
Mainz 05
0-114.06%
0-23.98%
1-23.29%
0-30.75%
1-30.62%
2-30.26%
0-40.11%